FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 18th October, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Bayer 04 Leverkusen have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

FSV Mainz 05 frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Bayer 04 Leverkusen are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (FSV Mainz 05 50% at home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with FSV Mainz 05 (16th) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60:38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 H 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV 29 7 10 12 32:45 -13 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 FC Köln 29 7 9 13 43:50 -7 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32:52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

FSV Mainz 05 have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both FSV Mainz 05 (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17th May, 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Corners 8–3 Cards 2–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Jan, 2025
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 8–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Feb, 2024
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 11–2 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Corners 3–1 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Feb, 2023
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 4–5 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Aug, 2022
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 3 HT: 0-3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Corners 3–4 Cards 1–8 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Feb, 2022
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2 HT: 0-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Sep, 2021
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–3 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Feb, 2021
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 2–2 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Oct, 2020
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Corners 6–2 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 2.64
Draw 3.57
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.86

Half Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 3.2
Draw 2.42
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.14

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 1.4
FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.34
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.56

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.58
No 2.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 3.5 2.72
Under 1.5 5.1
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.56

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 2
Over 11.5 2.08

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.16

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.23

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
Explore all our tips & stats

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Under 2.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Bundesliga this season, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Mixed — FSV Mainz 05 have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Uncertain — FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 30% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

St. Pauli vs FC Köln

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Friday 17th April, 19:30 BST

Match Stats

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:30 BST

Match Stats

TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:30 BST

Match Stats

FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:30 BST

Match Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:30 BST

Match Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 17:30 BST

Match Stats

SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:30 BST

Match Stats

FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

📍 Bundesliga, Germany

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 16:30 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →