FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Borussia Dortmund are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Borussia Dortmund have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Borussia Dortmund regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

FSV Mainz 05 usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Borussia Dortmund are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Borussia Dortmund in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with FSV Mainz 05 (13th) and Borussia Dortmund (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund A 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60:38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 H 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV 29 7 10 12 32:45 -13 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 FC Köln 29 7 9 13 43:50 -7 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32:52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Borussia Dortmund have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Borussia Dortmund regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Borussia Dortmund regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — FSV Mainz 05 have scored 1+ in 80% of home games, Borussia Dortmund in 70% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Goals Scored

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Borussia Dortmund in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Borussia Dortmund have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) Borussia Dortmund (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Mar, 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–4 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 8–0 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th May, 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 4–2 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Dec, 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–1 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th May, 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Jan, 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 2–3 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Mar, 2022
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 5–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Oct, 2021
Borussia Dortmund
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th May, 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Corners 4–2 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Jan, 2021
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 1–2 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 3.7
Draw 3.8
Borussia Dortmund 2.06

Half Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 3.94
Draw 2.56
Borussia Dortmund 2.57

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 1.87
FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 1.29
Draw or Borussia Dortmund 1.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.6
No 2.66

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 1.5 5.54
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 3.5 1.59

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.33

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.31

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.39
Over 2.5 5.4

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.77
Over 2.5 3.32

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund?

Over 1.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Borussia Dortmund in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund?

FSV Mainz 05 have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Borussia Dortmund on the road (50% wins) in Bundesliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund?

Possibly — Borussia Dortmund regularly see both teams score away (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund?

Possibly — Borussia Dortmund regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund?

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Borussia Dortmund in 40% of away games in Bundesliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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