FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 13th September, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). RB Leipzig have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (FSV Mainz 05 90% at home, RB Leipzig 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

RB Leipzig regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, RB Leipzig in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with FSV Mainz 05 (13th) and RB Leipzig (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60:38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig A 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 H 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV 29 7 10 12 32:45 -13 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 FC Köln 29 7 9 13 43:50 -7 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32:52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to RB Leipzig's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

RB Leipzig regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (FSV Mainz 05 90% at home, RB Leipzig 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, RB Leipzig in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both FSV Mainz 05 (80% Over 7.5 at home) and RB Leipzig (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

RB Leipzig have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) RB Leipzig (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

1st Mar, 2025
RB Leipzig
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 7–1 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
RB Leipzig
Corners 5–3 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Mar, 2024
RB Leipzig
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 12–2 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Nov, 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
RB Leipzig
Corners 2–7 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Apr, 2023
RB Leipzig
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 3–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Oct, 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
Corners 4–2 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Jan, 2022
RB Leipzig
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–1 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Aug, 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
Corners 5–11 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Jan, 2021
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
RB Leipzig
Corners 3–9 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Sep, 2020
RB Leipzig
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 7–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 2.25
Draw 3.8
RB Leipzig 2.94

Half Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 2.75
Draw 2.5
RB Leipzig 3.25

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 1.45
FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 1.29
Draw or RB Leipzig 1.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.44
No 2.78

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 3.5 2.2
Under 1.5 6.2
Under 2.5 2.64
Under 3.5 1.66

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36
Over 9.5 1.66
Over 10.5 2
Over 11.5 2.62

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.94
Over 2.5 3.5

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.19
Over 2.5 4.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig?

Over 1.5 Goals — FSV Mainz 05 see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, RB Leipzig in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig?

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Bundesliga this season, while RB Leipzig have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig?

Mixed — FSV Mainz 05 have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig?

Uncertain — FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig?

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, RB Leipzig in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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James T. (London, UK)

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