FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 18:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 to Win

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). SC Freiburg have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

FSV Mainz 05 frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while SC Freiburg are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (FSV Mainz 05 50% at home, SC Freiburg 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to Win — FSV Mainz 05 have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while SC Freiburg have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with FSV Mainz 05 (9th) and SC Freiburg (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
4 VfB Stuttgart 28 16 5 7 56:38 +18 53
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg A 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 H 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV 28 7 10 11 32:41 -9 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 Werder Bremen 28 7 7 14 31:49 -18 28
15 FC Köln 28 6 9 13 40:49 -9 27
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

FSV Mainz 05 have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to SC Freiburg's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

FSV Mainz 05 have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, SC Freiburg in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, SC Freiburg in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, SC Freiburg in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

SC Freiburg frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

SC Freiburg have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form) SC Freiburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Nov 2025
SC Freiburg
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
SC Freiburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2024
SC Freiburg
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Apr 2024
SC Freiburg
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
SC Freiburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
SC Freiburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2022
SC Freiburg
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Feb 2022
SC Freiburg
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Sep 2021
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
SC Freiburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
SC Freiburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 2.35
Draw 3.35
SC Freiburg 3.55

Half Time Result

FSV Mainz 05 2.85
Draw 2.2
SC Freiburg 3.86

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 1.3
FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 1.41
Draw or SC Freiburg 1.64

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72
No 2.14

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.5 3.3
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 3.5 1.41

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.67

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.53
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 2.4

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.11

SC Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.74

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?

FSV Mainz 05 to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while SC Freiburg have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg?

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Bundesliga this season, while SC Freiburg have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg?

Mixed — FSV Mainz 05 have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, SC Freiburg in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg?

Uncertain — FSV Mainz 05 have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, SC Freiburg in 40% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg?

Possibly — SC Freiburg frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Match Stats

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