FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 Over 1.5 Team Goals

FSV Mainz 05 sit 18th in the table after 12 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. St. Pauli are 16th after 12 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. FSV Mainz 05 have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; St. Pauli have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — FSV Mainz 05 in 90% of home games, St. Pauli in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

FSV Mainz 05 frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). St. Pauli are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — FSV Mainz 05 at 70% at home (7/10), St. Pauli at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 Over 1.5 Team Goals — they've scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games, while St. Pauli have conceded 2+ in 80% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with FSV Mainz 05 (18th) and St. Pauli (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122:36	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70:34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66:47	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71:49	+22	62
5	TSG Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65:52	+13	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68:47	+21	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51:57	-6	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61:65	-4	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45:61	-16	43
10	FSV Mainz 05 H	34	10	10	14	44:53	-9	40
11	FC Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	-14	39
12	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40:54	-14	38
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42:53	-11	38
14	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37:60	-23	32
15	FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49:63	-14	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45:69	-24	29
17	Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41:72	-31	26
18	St. Pauli A	34	6	8	20	29:60	-31	26

Team Form

St. Pauli have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while FSV Mainz 05 have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	5 (50%)	1 (10%)
Drawn	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Lost	3 (30%)	8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

FSV Mainz 05 frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while St. Pauli are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (FSV Mainz 05 90% at home, St. Pauli 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	10 (100%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)

Under Goals

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)

Team Goals

FSV Mainz 05 have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, St. Pauli in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	9 (90%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	7 (70%)	1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	3 (30%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goal Totals

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	18 (1.8 avg)	7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	13 (1.3 avg)	21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 8.5 at home) and St. Pauli (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners	7 (70%)	8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners	6 (60%)	6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners	2 (20%)	1 (10%)

Team Corners

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

St. Pauli have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	9 (90%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	6 (60%)	1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home Form)	St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FSV Mainz 05 and St. Pauli. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22nd Feb, 2025

FSV Mainz 05

2 – 0 HT: 0-0

St. Pauli

Corners 6–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

5th Oct, 2024

St. Pauli

0 – 3 HT: 0-2

FSV Mainz 05

Corners 2–2 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

14th May, 2011

FSV Mainz 05

2 – 1 HT: 0-1

St. Pauli