Galapagar vs Móstoles — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain
🕒 Sunday 22nd February, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Galapagar (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Móstoles on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Galapagar 50% Over 2.5 at home, Móstoles 10% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Galapagar often see both teams score at home (60%), while Móstoles are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Galapagar have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Móstoles in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 7 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Galapagar (11th) and Móstoles (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 7 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Atletico Madrid III 29 15 9 5 67:39 +28 54
2 Las Rozas 30 15 8 7 49:32 +17 53
3 Leganés II 30 14 8 8 58:27 +31 50
4 Trival Valderas 30 15 5 10 42:33 +9 50
5 Torrejón 30 14 8 8 49:41 +8 50
6 Móstoles A 30 14 7 9 46:36 +10 49
7 SS Reyes II 29 10 12 7 37:27 +10 42
8 Unión Adarve 30 11 8 11 35:41 -6 41
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 30 10 11 9 32:28 +4 41
10 México 30 11 7 12 38:41 -3 40
11 Villaverde-Boetticher 30 9 13 8 28:32 -4 40
12 Galapagar H 30 9 13 8 33:41 -8 40
13 Alcorcón II 30 9 10 11 29:31 -2 37
14 Tres Cantos 30 10 3 17 34:53 -19 33
15 Siello 30 9 5 16 28:41 -13 32
16 Carabanchel 30 7 11 12 26:30 -4 32
17 Parla 30 7 5 18 27:54 -27 26
18 Racing Madrid City 30 5 7 18 30:61 -31 22

Team Form

Móstoles have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Galapagar have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Galapagar frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Móstoles are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Galapagar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Móstoles in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Galapagar have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Móstoles in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Galapagar (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Móstoles (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Galapagar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Móstoles have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Galapagar (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Galapagar and Móstoles. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12 Oct 2025
Móstoles
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Galapagar
01 May 2024
Galapagar
3 – 3 HT: 1-3
Móstoles
07 Jan 2024
Móstoles
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Galapagar
22 Jan 2023
Móstoles
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Galapagar
18 Sep 2022
Galapagar
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Móstoles

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Galapagar vs Móstoles across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Galapagar 4.37
Draw 3.62
Móstoles 1.68

Half Time Result

Galapagar 4.92
Draw 2.2
Móstoles 2.37

Double Chance

Galapagar or Draw 1.97
Galapagar or Móstoles 1.22
Draw or Móstoles 1.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 3.5 1.37

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.53

Galapagar Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.22

Móstoles Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.72

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined

Galapagar vs Móstoles Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Galapagar vs Móstoles?

Under 3.5 Goals — Galapagar have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Móstoles in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Galapagar or Móstoles?

Galapagar have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Móstoles on the road (30% wins) in Tercera - Group 7. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Galapagar and Móstoles?

Mixed — Galapagar have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Móstoles in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 7 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Galapagar and Móstoles?

Uncertain — Galapagar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Móstoles in 10% of away games in Tercera - Group 7. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Galapagar or Móstoles?

Galapagar have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Móstoles's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Galapagar and Móstoles?

Galapagar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Móstoles in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 7. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

México vs Parla

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:00 BST

Móstoles vs Leganés II

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Tres Cantos vs Torrejón

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Racing Madrid City vs Siello

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Galapagar vs Alcorcón II

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

SS Reyes II vs Pozuelo Alarcón

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Unión Adarve vs Villaverde-Boetticher

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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