Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 13:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Gor Mahia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Kariobangi Sharks have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Gor Mahia 60% Over 2.5 at home, Kariobangi Sharks 10% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Gor Mahia at 30% at home and Kariobangi Sharks at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Kariobangi Sharks regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Gor Mahia have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Kariobangi Sharks in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Gor Mahia (1st) and Kariobangi Sharks (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia H 27 17 6 4 44:19 +25 57
2 Leopards 28 16 7 5 36:21 +15 55
3 Police 28 12 11 5 26:17 +9 47
4 Homeboyz 28 12 10 6 42:29 +13 46
5 Shabana 28 13 7 8 32:30 +2 46
6 Tusker 28 12 5 11 24:26 -2 41
7 KCB 28 11 7 10 29:30 -1 40
8 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
9 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
10 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
11 Mara Sugar 28 8 13 7 26:25 +1 37
12 Mathare United 28 9 7 12 25:27 -2 34
13 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
14 Ulinzi Stars 28 7 7 14 28:33 -5 28
15 Kariobangi Sharks A 28 5 11 12 18:30 -12 26
16 Bidco United 28 4 10 14 16:33 -17 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka 28 3 8 17 15:36 -21 17

Team Form

Gor Mahia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Kariobangi Sharks's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gor Mahia (30% BTTS at home) and Kariobangi Sharks (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Gor Mahia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Kariobangi Sharks in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Gor Mahia have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Kariobangi Sharks in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Gor Mahia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Kariobangi Sharks in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Kariobangi Sharks have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Kariobangi Sharks (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Jan 2026
Kariobangi Sharks
1 – 4 HT: 0-2
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2025
Kariobangi Sharks
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2025
Kariobangi Sharks
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Dec 2024
Gor Mahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Kariobangi Sharks
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2024
Gor Mahia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Kariobangi Sharks
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
Kariobangi Sharks
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2023
Gor Mahia
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Kariobangi Sharks
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Dec 2022
Kariobangi Sharks
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2022
Gor Mahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Kariobangi Sharks
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2021
Kariobangi Sharks
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Gor Mahia 1.43
Draw 3.4
Kariobangi Sharks 6.5

Half Time Result

Gor Mahia 1.91
Draw 2.2
Kariobangi Sharks 7

Double Chance

Gor Mahia or Draw 1.07
Gor Mahia or Kariobangi Sharks 1.3
Draw or Kariobangi Sharks 2.46

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.58

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 2.92
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.92

Gor Mahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.7

Kariobangi Sharks Goals

Over 0.5 1.9
Over 1.5 5.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Under 3.5 Goals — Gor Mahia have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Kariobangi Sharks in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Gor Mahia or Kariobangi Sharks?

Gor Mahia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while Kariobangi Sharks have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks?

Unlikely — Gor Mahia (30% BTTS at home) and Kariobangi Sharks (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks?

Uncertain — Gor Mahia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Kariobangi Sharks in 10% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gor Mahia or Kariobangi Sharks?

Gor Mahia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Kariobangi Sharks's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks?

Gor Mahia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Kariobangi Sharks in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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