Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya
๐Ÿ•’ Saturday 30th May, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Gor Mahia average 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Nairobi United average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Gor Mahia have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Nairobi United side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Gor Mahia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Nairobi United in 30% away (3/10). Gor Mahia average 1.7 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Nairobi United 1.1 and 1.2 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Gor Mahia have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Nairobi United in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed โ€” Gor Mahia see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Nairobi United in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals โ€” Gor Mahia have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nairobi United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Gor Mahia (th) and Nairobi United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia H 32 20 8 4 50:21 +29 68
2 Leopards 32 19 7 6 42:24 +18 64
3 Police 31 13 13 5 29:19 +10 52
4 Shabana 32 14 9 9 33:31 +2 51
5 Nairobi United A 30 13 9 8 42:32 +10 48
6 Homeboyz 32 12 11 9 44:34 +10 47
7 Tusker 31 13 5 13 26:28 -2 44
8 Mara Sugar 32 10 13 9 29:28 +1 43
9 KCB 31 11 9 11 32:34 -2 42
10 Bandari 31 8 17 6 25:23 +2 41
11 Murang'a SEAL 32 11 8 13 38:41 -3 41
12 Mathare United 32 10 8 14 29:33 -4 38
13 Posta Rangers 32 8 13 11 30:39 -9 37
14 Kariobangi Sharks 31 7 12 12 21:30 -9 33
15 APS Bomet 29 8 9 12 30:32 -2 33
16 Ulinzi Stars 31 8 8 15 30:36 -6 32
17 Bidco United 32 4 12 16 17:37 -20 24
18 Sofapaka 31 3 9 19 17:42 -25 18

Team Form

Gor Mahia hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Nairobi United have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gor Mahia (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Gor Mahia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Gor Mahia have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Nairobi United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Gor Mahia are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Gor Mahia (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

โšฝ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs UNSW U20 10:00 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · UNSW U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    93% combined
  • Trans vs Paide 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Trans have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Paide have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    91% combined
  • Tukums vs Riga 16:00 BST | Virsliga, Latvia Tukums have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · Riga have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    85% combined
  • Zeeburgia U21 vs Emmen U21 18:00 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Zeeburgia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Emmen U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    84% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.39
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Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?

Under 3.5 Goals โ€” Gor Mahia have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nairobi United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Gor Mahia or Nairobi United?

Gor Mahia hold a clear form advantage โ€” they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Nairobi United have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?

Unlikely โ€” Gor Mahia (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?

Uncertain โ€” Gor Mahia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gor Mahia or Nairobi United?

Gor Mahia have the stronger scoring record โ€” 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Nairobi United's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?

Possibly โ€” Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Gor Mahia are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Nairobi United vs Police

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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KCB vs Posta Rangers

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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Bidco United vs Murang'a SEAL

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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Bandari vs Tusker

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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Sofapaka vs Shabana

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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APS Bomet vs Leopards

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

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Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, Kenya

๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. Iโ€™ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and itโ€™s been super helpful. Itโ€™s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that itโ€™s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5โ€”these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. Iโ€™ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Iโ€™m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether Iโ€™m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. Itโ€™s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and itโ€™s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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