Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 26th February, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Grêmio to Win

Grêmio sit 13th in the table after 2 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Mineiro are 15th after 2 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Grêmio have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Atlético Mineiro side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Atlético Mineiro in 50% away (5/10). Grêmio average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Atlético Mineiro 1.1 and 1.3 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Grêmio have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Atlético Mineiro in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Grêmio regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Grêmio to Win — Grêmio have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Atlético Mineiro have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Grêmio (13th) and Atlético Mineiro (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 Athletico PR 17 8 3 6 23:18 +5 27
5 Bragantino 17 8 2 7 22:18 +4 26
6 Coritiba 17 7 5 5 24:21 +3 26
7 São Paulo 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
8 Cruzeiro 17 6 5 6 23:27 -4 23
9 Bahia 16 6 5 5 23:22 +1 23
10 Vitória 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
11 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
12 Corinthians 17 5 6 6 15:18 -3 21
13 Atlético Mineiro A 17 6 3 8 21:23 -2 21
14 Grêmio H 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
15 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
16 Vasco da Gama 17 5 5 7 22:28 -6 20
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 17 3 6 8 20:29 -9 15
20 Chapecoense 16 1 6 9 17:32 -15 9

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Atlético Mineiro have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Mineiro in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17 Aug 2025
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2025
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2024
Grêmio
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2023
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Dec 2021
Grêmio
4 – 3 HT: 3-2
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Nov 2021
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2021
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Sep 2020
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.3
Draw 3.34
Atlético Mineiro 3.44

Half Time Result

Grêmio 2.89
Draw 2.2
Atlético Mineiro 4.2

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.35
Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro 1.36
Draw or Atlético Mineiro 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 2.03

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.38
Under 1.5 2.99
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.19

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 1.91
Over 11.5 2.09

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.27

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.95

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Hradec Kralove W 17:30 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · Hradec Kralove W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    90% combined
  • JyPK W vs ONS W 16:30 BST | Ykkönen Women, Finland JyPK W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · ONS W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Usher Celtic 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Usher Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
  • Criciuma U20 vs Bahia U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Criciuma U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Bahia U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.75
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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?

Grêmio to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Mineiro have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Atlético Mineiro have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Unlikely — Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro?

Atlético Mineiro have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Grêmio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Possibly — Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Remo vs São Paulo

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Santos vs Vitória

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Bragantino vs Internacional

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Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

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Match Stats

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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