Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 26th February, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Grêmio hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Atlético Mineiro are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Grêmio frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Atlético Mineiro are more variable on the road (60%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Grêmio 50% at home, Atlético Mineiro 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Atlético Mineiro regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Grêmio (13th) and Atlético Mineiro (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 9 7 1 1 19:9 +10 22
2 Fluminense 9 6 1 2 16:10 +6 19
3 São Paulo 9 5 2 2 11:6 +5 17
4 Bahia 8 5 2 1 12:7 +5 17
5 Athletico PR 9 5 1 3 14:11 +3 16
6 Flamengo 8 4 2 2 13:8 +5 14
7 Coritiba 9 4 2 3 10:9 +1 14
8 Vasco da Gama 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
9 Atlético Mineiro A 9 3 2 4 12:11 +1 11
10 Grêmio H 9 3 2 4 14:14 0 11
11 Bragantino 9 3 2 4 9:10 -1 11
12 Vitória 8 3 1 4 8:13 -5 10
13 Corinthians 9 2 4 3 8:10 -2 10
14 Santos 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
15 Botafogo 8 3 0 5 14:18 -4 9
16 Internacional 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
17 Cruzeiro 9 1 4 4 11:16 -5 7
18 Chapecoense 8 1 4 3 9:15 -6 7
19 Remo 9 1 3 5 10:17 -7 6
20 Mirassol 8 1 3 4 10:13 -3 6

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Atlético Mineiro have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Atlético Mineiro in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17 Aug 2025
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2025
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2024
Grêmio
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2023
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Dec 2021
Grêmio
4 – 3 HT: 3-2
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Nov 2021
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2021
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Sep 2020
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.3
Draw 3.34
Atlético Mineiro 3.44

Half Time Result

Grêmio 2.89
Draw 2.2
Atlético Mineiro 4.2

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.35
Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro 1.36
Draw or Atlético Mineiro 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 2.03

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.38
Under 1.5 2.99
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.19

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 1.91
Over 11.5 2.09

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.27

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.95

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.48
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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Atlético Mineiro have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Mixed — Grêmio have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro?

Atlético Mineiro have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Grêmio's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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