Grêmio vs Flamengo

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Grêmio sit 15th in the table after 12 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Flamengo are 2nd after 10 games, averaging 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Grêmio have won 60% of home games, Flamengo 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Flamengo in 50% away (5/10). Grêmio average 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Flamengo 2.2 and 0.6 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Grêmio have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Flamengo in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Grêmio see 8+ in 60% of home games, Flamengo in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Flamengo in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Grêmio (15th) and Flamengo (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 15 10 4 1 25:12 +13 34
2 Flamengo A 14 9 3 2 27:12 +15 30
3 Fluminense 15 8 3 4 25:20 +5 27
4 São Paulo 15 7 3 5 21:16 +5 24
5 Athletico PR 15 7 2 6 20:16 +4 23
6 Bahia 14 6 4 4 20:18 +2 22
7 Vasco da Gama 15 5 5 5 21:21 0 20
8 Bragantino 15 6 2 7 17:18 -1 20
9 Coritiba 15 5 5 5 18:19 -1 20
10 Cruzeiro 15 5 4 6 20:25 -5 19
11 Vitória 14 5 4 5 18:20 -2 19
12 Botafogo 14 5 3 6 26:27 -1 18
13 Corinthians 15 4 6 5 13:15 -2 18
14 Atlético Mineiro 15 5 3 7 18:21 -3 18
15 Internacional 15 4 6 5 16:16 0 18
16 Santos 15 4 6 5 21:22 -1 18
17 Grêmio H 15 4 5 6 15:17 -2 17
18 Mirassol 14 3 4 7 16:20 -4 13
19 Remo 15 2 6 7 16:25 -9 12
20 Chapecoense 14 1 6 7 14:27 -13 9

Team Form

Grêmio (60% home wins) and Flamengo (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Flamengo (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Flamengo in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Flamengo in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Grêmio (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Flamengo (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Flamengo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Flamengo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Flamengo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31 Aug 2025
Flamengo
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
13 Apr 2025
Grêmio
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Flamengo
22 Sep 2024
Grêmio
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Flamengo
13 Jun 2024
Flamengo
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
26 Oct 2023
Grêmio
3 – 2 HT: 0-1
Flamengo
17 Aug 2023
Flamengo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
27 Jul 2023
Grêmio
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Flamengo
11 Jun 2023
Flamengo
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
24 Nov 2021
Grêmio
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Flamengo
19 Sep 2021
Flamengo
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Grêmio

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Flamengo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 4.4
Draw 3.45
Flamengo 1.9

Half Time Result

Grêmio 4.65
Draw 2.21
Flamengo 2.52

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.85
Grêmio or Flamengo 1.32
Draw or Flamengo 1.25

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.43
Over 2.5 2.1
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.7
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.21

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.6
Over 10.5 1.96
Over 11.5 2.55

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.64

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.13

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Luzern vs Zürich 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Luzern have seen over 2.5 goals in 17/18 home matches this season · Zürich have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
  • Inchicore Athletic vs Killester Donnycarney 20:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Inchicore Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    82% combined
  • Grasshopper vs Winterthur 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Grasshopper have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Winterthur have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin 16:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 home matches this season · Carina Gubin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Grêmio vs Flamengo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Flamengo?

Under 3.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Flamengo in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Flamengo?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Grêmio have won 60% of home games, Flamengo 60% away in Serie A. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Flamengo?

Unlikely — Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Flamengo (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Flamengo?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Flamengo in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Flamengo?

Flamengo have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Grêmio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Flamengo?

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Flamengo in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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