Gran Pena vs Noia Football Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain
🕒 Sunday 18th January, 14:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Gran Pena to Win

Gran Pena sit 12th in the table, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Noia are 16th, averaging 0.5 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. The home record backs Gran Pena strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Noia have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Gran Pena have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Noia are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Gran Pena frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Noia are lower on the road (10%, 1/10) — they've scored in 20% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Gran Pena see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Noia in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Gran Pena to Win — Gran Pena have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Noia have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Gran Pena (12th) and Noia (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arosa 34 20 10 4 58:35 +23 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 +27 68
3 Atlético Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 +10 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 +13 53
5 Villalbés 34 13 13 8 36:29 +7 52
6 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 +5 51
7 Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 +16 51
8 Gran Pena H 34 13 12 9 57:42 +15 51
9 Lugo II 34 12 13 9 41:33 +8 49
10 Atlético Coruña 34 12 12 10 48:42 +6 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 -6 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 -3 45
13 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 -14 38
14 Céltiga 34 10 8 16 45:48 -3 38
15 Silva 34 9 9 16 36:48 -12 36
16 Juventud Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 -19 26
17 Noia A 34 6 7 21 28:57 -29 25
18 Barbadás 34 4 7 23 25:69 -44 19

Team Form

Gran Pena have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Noia's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gran Pena frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Noia are less consistent on the road (10%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Gran Pena frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Noia are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Gran Pena have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Noia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 27 (2.7 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Gran Pena have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Noia in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Gran Pena have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Noia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Gran Pena (Home Form) Noia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Gran Pena vs Noia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Gran Pena 1.83
Draw 3.1
Noia 3.6

Half Time Result

Gran Pena 2.62
Draw 2.05
Noia 4

Double Chance

Gran Pena or Draw 1.22
Gran Pena or Noia 1.28
Draw or Noia 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.7
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Gran Pena vs Noia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gran Pena vs Noia?

Gran Pena to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Noia have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Gran Pena or Noia?

Gran Pena hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Tercera - Group 1 this season, while Noia have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Gran Pena and Noia?

Possibly — Gran Pena frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Noia are lower on the road (10%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gran Pena and Noia?

Possibly — Gran Pena frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Noia are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gran Pena or Noia?

Gran Pena have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Noia's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gran Pena and Noia?

Gran Pena have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Noia in 30% of away games in Tercera - Group 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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