Guadalajara vs Toluca Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 21st September, 02:07 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Guadalajara to Win

Guadalajara sit 12th in the table after 6 games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Toluca are 4th after 7 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. The home record backs Guadalajara strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Toluca have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Toluca have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Guadalajara are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Toluca regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Guadalajara are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Guadalajara see 8+ in 90% of home games, Toluca in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Guadalajara to Win — Guadalajara have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Toluca have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Guadalajara (12th) and Toluca (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca A 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara H 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Guadalajara have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Toluca's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Guadalajara are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Guadalajara are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Guadalajara have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 23 (2.3 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Guadalajara win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Guadalajara (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Guadalajara and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16th Feb, 2025
Toluca
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Guadalajara
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Jul, 2024
Guadalajara
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th May, 2024
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara
Corners 7–5 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th May, 2024
Guadalajara
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 3–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jan, 2024
Guadalajara
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Toluca
Corners 5–7 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Oct, 2023
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara
Corners 3–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2023
Guadalajara
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 6–4 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Sep, 2022
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara
Corners 7–5 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Apr, 2022
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara
Corners 6–4 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Oct, 2021
Guadalajara
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 2–4 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Guadalajara vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Guadalajara 3
Draw 3.42
Toluca 2.25

Half Time Result

Guadalajara 3.4
Draw 2.16
Toluca 2.87

Double Chance

Guadalajara or Draw 1.55
Guadalajara or Toluca 1.32
Draw or Toluca 1.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61
No 2.4

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 3.5 2.92
Under 1.5 4.35
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 3.5 1.43

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.64

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.37
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.1

Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.37
Over 2.5 6

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2
Over 2.5 4.33

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Toluca?

Guadalajara to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Toluca have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Guadalajara or Toluca?

Guadalajara hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Toluca have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Guadalajara and Toluca?

Mixed — Guadalajara have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Guadalajara and Toluca?

Possibly — Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Guadalajara are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Guadalajara or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Guadalajara's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Guadalajara and Toluca?

Possibly — Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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