Liga Nacional · Guatemala 🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 23:00 GMT

Guastatoya vs Aurora Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Guastatoya Home · 3rd 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Aurora Away · 11th 0W 4D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Guastatoya 54% Draw 28% Aurora 18%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Guastatoya vs Aurora Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Guastatoya see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Aurora in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
54% Guastatoya win 28% Draw 18% Aurora win 47% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals

Guastatoya sit 3rd in the table after 22 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Aurora are 11th after 26 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Guastatoya have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Aurora side who've won 0/10 away (0%).

Guastatoya have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Aurora in 40% away (4/10). Guastatoya average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Aurora 0.5 and 1.8 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Guastatoya at 50% in home games (5/10), Aurora at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Guastatoya see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Aurora in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Guastatoya (3rd) and Aurora (11th) sit in the Liga Nacional table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Aurora A 48 16 14 18 49:65 -16 62
10 Guastatoya H 46 14 11 21 52:61 -9 53
View the full Liga Nacional 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Municipal 55 34 12 9 94:40 +54 114
2 Antigua GFC 52 27 10 15 85:60 +25 91
3 Mixco 50 25 9 16 67:58 +9 84
4 Xelajú 51 22 12 17 76:56 +20 78
5 Aurora A 48 16 14 18 49:65 -16 62
6 Comunicaciones 48 17 8 23 49:59 -10 59
7 Cobán Imperial 46 15 13 18 52:50 +2 58
8 Malacateco 46 17 5 24 47:58 -11 56
9 Marquense 46 15 9 22 43:67 -24 54
10 Guastatoya H 46 14 11 21 52:61 -9 53
11 Mictlán 46 13 12 21 46:62 -16 51
12 Achuapa 48 12 13 23 43:67 -24 49

Team Form

Guastatoya hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Aurora have been less consistent on the road (0%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Guastatoya have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Aurora in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Guastatoya have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Aurora in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Guastatoya have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Aurora in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Guastatoya 1.9 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Aurora 0.5 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Guastatoya 19 scored / 8 conceded at home · Aurora 5 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Guastatoya have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Aurora in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Guastatoya have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Aurora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Guastatoya — last 10 home A Aurora — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Guastatoya and Aurora. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Sep 2025
Guastatoya
3 – 2 HT: 3-0
Aurora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jul 2025
Aurora
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Guastatoya
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Guastatoya vs Aurora across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Guastatoya 1.68 Model: 54%
Draw 3.48 Model: 28%
Aurora 5.29 Model: 18%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 47%
No 1.88 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 2.02 Model: 44%
Over 3.5 3.8 Model: 22%
Value Under 1.5 3.65 Model: 31%
Under 2.5 1.77 Model: 56%
Value Under 3.5 1.34 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.39 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.75
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Guastatoya 2.18 Model: 41%
Draw 2.06 Model: 45%
Aurora 6.02 Model: 15%

Double Chance

Guastatoya or Draw 1.15 Model: 82%
Guastatoya or Aurora 1.28 Model: 72%
Draw or Aurora 2.09 Model: 46%

Guastatoya Goals

Over 0.5 1.15 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 1.89 Model: 46%

Aurora Goals

Over 0.5 1.67 Model: 53%
Over 1.5 3.5 Model: 19%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Guastatoya vs Aurora Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Aurora?

Over 1.5 Goals — Guastatoya see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Aurora in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Guastatoya or Aurora?

Guastatoya hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga Nacional this season, while Aurora have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Guastatoya and Aurora?

Mixed — Guastatoya have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Aurora in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Nacional fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Guastatoya and Aurora?

Uncertain — Guastatoya have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Aurora in 40% of away games in Liga Nacional. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Guastatoya or Aurora?

Guastatoya have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Aurora's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Guastatoya and Aurora?

Guastatoya have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Aurora in 60% of away games in Liga Nacional. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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