Guingamp vs Bastia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 2, France
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 19:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Guingamp (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Bastia on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Guingamp at 40% at home and Bastia at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Guingamp 30% at home, Bastia 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Guingamp have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Bastia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Ligue 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Guingamp (th) and Bastia (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Troyes 31 18 7 6 53:32 +21 61
2 Le Mans 31 15 12 4 46:29 +17 57
3 Saint-Étienne 31 17 6 8 53:33 +20 57
4 Rodez 31 13 12 6 41:37 +4 51
5 Reims 31 13 12 6 46:30 +16 51
6 Red Star 30 13 9 8 38:33 +5 48
7 Montpellier 31 13 8 10 37:28 +9 47
8 Annecy 31 13 7 11 41:35 +6 46
9 Pau 31 12 9 10 43:49 -6 45
10 Guingamp H 31 10 10 11 40:44 -4 40
11 Dunkerque 30 10 10 10 45:37 +8 40
12 Boulogne 31 9 9 13 30:39 -9 36
13 Grenoble Foot 38 31 6 14 11 30:38 -8 32
14 Nancy 31 7 9 15 28:48 -20 30
15 Clermont 31 7 9 15 34:42 -8 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 26:43 -17 25
17 Amiens SC 31 6 6 19 36:55 -19 24
18 Bastia A 30 4 12 14 21:36 -15 24

Team Form

Guingamp have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Bastia have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Guingamp have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Bastia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Guingamp have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bastia in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Guingamp have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bastia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Bastia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Guingamp are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Guingamp have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Bastia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Guingamp (Home Form) Bastia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Bastia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Guingamp have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Bastia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Guingamp or Bastia?

Guingamp have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Bastia on the road (20% wins) in Ligue 2. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Guingamp and Bastia?

Mixed — Guingamp have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Bastia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 2 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Guingamp and Bastia?

Uncertain — Guingamp have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bastia in 30% of away games in Ligue 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Guingamp or Bastia?

Bastia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Guingamp's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Guingamp and Bastia?

Possibly — Bastia frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Guingamp are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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