Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 16:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Hamburger SV (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over FSV Mainz 05 on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Hamburger SV 80% at home, FSV Mainz 05 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 frequently see both teams scoring (80% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Hamburger SV see both teams score in 80% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Hamburger SV (14th) and FSV Mainz 05 (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 29 24 4 1 105:27 +78 76
2 Borussia Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60:29 +31 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60:38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56:36 +20 56
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59:39 +20 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57:43 +14 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54:54 0 42
8 SC Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 -6 37
9 FC Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36:53 -17 33
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 28 8 9 11 35:43 -8 33
11 FC Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33:50 -17 32
12 Hamburger SV H 29 7 10 12 32:45 -13 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 7 9 13 35:49 -14 30
14 FC Köln 29 7 9 13 43:50 -7 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32:52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 29 6 7 16 25:50 -25 25
17 VfL Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39:65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32:64 -32 19

Team Form

Hamburger SV have won 20% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 30% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Hamburger SV have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Hamburger SV 80% at home, FSV Mainz 05 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Hamburger SV have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Hamburger SV regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Hamburger SV have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Hamburger SV (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

3rd Mar, 2018
Hamburger SV
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 11–1 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Oct, 2017
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Hamburger SV
Corners 4–2 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2017
Hamburger SV
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Dec, 2016
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Hamburger SV
Corners 6–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Apr, 2016
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Hamburger SV
Corners 6–4 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Dec, 2015
Hamburger SV
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 2–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd May, 2015
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Hamburger SV
Corners 8–2 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Dec, 2014
Hamburger SV
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 6–6 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th May, 2014
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Hamburger SV
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Dec, 2013
Hamburger SV
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Hamburger SV 3.37
Draw 3.79
FSV Mainz 05 2.24

Half Time Result

Hamburger SV 3.69
Draw 2.54
FSV Mainz 05 2.71

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw 1.78
Hamburger SV or FSV Mainz 05 1.3
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 1.36

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.44
No 2.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.48
Under 1.5 5.8
Under 2.5 2.6
Under 3.5 1.66

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.84
Over 11.5 2.62

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.36
Over 2.5 5

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.83
Over 2.5 4.33

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

Both Teams to Score — Hamburger SV see BTTS in 80% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Hamburger SV or FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Hamburger SV at home (20% wins) in Bundesliga. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Hamburger SV have seen BTTS in 80% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games in Bundesliga. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?

Uncertain — Hamburger SV have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Hamburger SV or FSV Mainz 05?

Hamburger SV have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — Hamburger SV regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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