Hearts vs Hibernian — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premiership, Scotland
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Hearts have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Hibernian have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Hearts at 30% at home and Hibernian at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Hearts 40% at home, Hibernian 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Hearts have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Hibernian in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premiership table for the 2025/2026 season, with Hearts (1st) and Hibernian (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premiership 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Hearts H 34 22 7 5 60:29 +31 73
2 Celtic 34 22 4 8 62:36 +26 70
3 Rangers 34 19 12 3 68:34 +34 69
4 Motherwell 34 15 12 7 55:31 +24 57
5 Hibernian A 34 13 12 9 52:39 +13 51
6 Falkirk 34 13 7 14 46:51 -5 46
7 Dundee United 34 10 13 11 48:54 -6 43
8 Aberdeen 34 10 6 18 34:48 -14 36
9 Dundee 34 8 9 17 34:56 -22 33
10 St. Mirren 34 7 9 18 27:50 -23 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 6 10 18 37:66 -29 28
12 Livingston 34 2 13 19 37:66 -29 19

Team Form

Hearts have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Hibernian's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Hearts have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Hibernian in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Hearts have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Hibernian in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Hearts have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Hibernian in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Hearts (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Hibernian (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Hearts have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Hibernian have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Hearts (Home Form) Hibernian (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Hearts and Hibernian. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

2nd Mar, 2025
Hibernian
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Hearts
26th Dec, 2024
Hearts
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Hibernian
27th Oct, 2024
Hibernian
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Hearts
28th Feb, 2024
Hearts
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Hibernian
27th Dec, 2023
Hibernian
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Hearts
7th Oct, 2023
Hearts
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Hibernian
27th May, 2023
Hearts
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Hibernian
15th Apr, 2023
Hibernian
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Hearts
22nd Jan, 2023
Hibernian
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Hearts
2nd Jan, 2023
Hearts
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Hibernian

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Hearts vs Hibernian across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Hearts 1.84
Draw 3.95
Hibernian 4.7

Half Time Result

Hearts 2.37
Draw 2.3
Hibernian 4.5

Double Chance

Hearts or Draw 1.22
Hearts or Hibernian 1.3
Draw or Hibernian 1.95

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.78
No 2.24

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 3.5 3.22
Under 1.5 4.5
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.43

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.3
Over 10.5 1.67
Over 11.5 1.91

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.8
Over 2.5 3.7

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 3.25
Over 2.5 7.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • St. Francis vs Malahide United 20:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland St. Francis have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    85% combined
  • SKS Oskar Przysucha vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 17:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland SKS Oskar Przysucha have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Sagamihara vs Tochigi City 06:00 BST | J2/J3 100 Year Vision League, Japan Sagamihara have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tochigi City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    83% combined
  • Dukla U19 vs Spartak Trnava U19 15:30 BST | Youth League, Slovakia Dukla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Spartak Trnava U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    80% combined

Hearts vs Hibernian Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Hearts vs Hibernian?

Under 2.5 Goals — Hearts have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Hibernian in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Hearts or Hibernian?

Hearts hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Premiership this season, while Hibernian have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Hearts and Hibernian?

Mixed — Hearts have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Hibernian in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premiership fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Hearts and Hibernian?

Uncertain — Hearts have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Hibernian in 40% of away games in Premiership. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Hearts or Hibernian?

Hibernian have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Hearts's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Hearts and Hibernian?

Yes — both Hearts (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Hibernian (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premiership. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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