Heracles Almelo vs Ajax — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Eredivisie, Netherlands
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Heracles Almelo (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Ajax on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Heracles Almelo 80% at home, Ajax 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Ajax regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Heracles Almelo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season, with Heracles Almelo (18th) and Ajax (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Eredivisie 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 31 25 2 4 90:41 +49 77
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 65:42 +23 58
3 NEC Nijmegen 31 15 10 6 73:49 +24 55
4 Ajax A 31 14 12 5 59:37 +22 54
5 FC Twente 31 14 12 5 52:33 +19 54
6 AZ 31 14 7 10 52:45 +7 49
7 SC Heerenveen 31 13 8 10 55:51 +4 47
8 FC Utrecht 31 12 8 11 49:41 +8 44
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 36:53 -17 42
10 FC Groningen 31 12 6 13 43:40 +3 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 50:45 +5 37
12 Fortuna Sittard 31 10 6 15 45:57 -12 36
13 PEC Zwolle 31 8 10 13 41:66 -25 34
14 Excelsior 31 8 7 16 36:51 -15 31
15 FC Volendam 31 8 7 16 33:50 -17 31
16 Telstar 31 7 9 15 43:53 -10 30
17 NAC Breda 31 5 10 16 30:53 -23 25
18 Heracles Almelo H 31 5 4 22 34:79 -45 19

Team Form

Heracles Almelo have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Ajax have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ajax regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Heracles Almelo 80% at home, Ajax 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Heracles Almelo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Ajax in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 17 (1.7 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Heracles Almelo (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Ajax (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Heracles Almelo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Ajax have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Heracles Almelo (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Heracles Almelo and Ajax. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
Ajax
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Heracles Almelo
16 Feb 2025
Ajax
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Heracles Almelo
20 Oct 2024
Heracles Almelo
3 – 4 HT: 2-2
Ajax
27 Jan 2024
Heracles Almelo
2 – 4 HT: 1-1
Ajax
12 Aug 2023
Ajax
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Heracles Almelo
06 Feb 2022
Ajax
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Heracles Almelo
30 Oct 2021
Heracles Almelo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ajax
13 Feb 2021
Heracles Almelo
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Ajax
22 Nov 2020
Ajax
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
Heracles Almelo
23 Feb 2020
Heracles
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ajax

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Heracles Almelo vs Ajax across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Heracles Almelo 5
Draw 4.33
Ajax 1.57

Half Time Result

Heracles Almelo 5.45
Draw 2.5
Ajax 1.98

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw 2.4
Heracles Almelo or Ajax 1.21
Draw or Ajax 1.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61
No 2.52

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 3.5 2.26
Under 1.5 7
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 3.5 1.77

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.22

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 1.96
Over 11.5 2.18

Heracles Almelo Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.16

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.45

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Paris Saint Germain vs FC Bayern München 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Paris Saint Germain have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
  • Al Khaleej vs Al Najma 19:00 BST | Pro League, Saudi Arabia Al Khaleej have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/13 home matches this season · Al Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    66% combined

Heracles Almelo vs Ajax Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo vs Ajax?

Over 1.5 Goals — Heracles Almelo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Heracles Almelo or Ajax?

Ajax hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Heracles Almelo at home (20% wins) in Eredivisie. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Heracles Almelo and Ajax?

Mixed — Heracles Almelo have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Eredivisie fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Heracles Almelo and Ajax?

Uncertain — Heracles Almelo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games in Eredivisie. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Heracles Almelo or Ajax?

Ajax have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Heracles Almelo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Heracles Almelo and Ajax?

Heracles Almelo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games in Eredivisie. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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