Eredivisie · Netherlands 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 13:30 GMT

Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Heracles Almelo Home · 18th 1W 2D 7L last 10 home
VS
Fortuna Sittard Away · 10th 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Heracles Almelo 45% Draw 24% Fortuna Sittard 32%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Heracles Almelo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Fortuna Sittard in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
45% Heracles Almelo win 24% Draw 32% Fortuna Sittard win 61% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
70% Over 8.5 Corners

Heracles Almelo sit 18th in the table after 18 games, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per home match this season. Fortuna Sittard are 10th after 18 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Heracles Almelo have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Fortuna Sittard have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Fortuna Sittard have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Heracles Almelo are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Fortuna Sittard regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Heracles Almelo are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 90% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Heracles Almelo see 8+ in 70% of home games, Fortuna Sittard in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Heracles Almelo (18th) and Fortuna Sittard (10th) sit in the Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
11 Fortuna Sittard A 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
18 Heracles Almelo H 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
View the full Eredivisie 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 +56 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 +26 65
3 Ajax 36 15 15 6 65:42 +23 60
4 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 +24 59
5 FC Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 +19 58
6 FC Utrecht 36 16 9 11 59:45 +14 57
7 AZ 34 14 10 10 58:51 +7 52
8 SC Heerenveen 35 14 9 12 59:56 +3 51
9 FC Groningen 35 14 6 15 49:47 +2 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
11 Fortuna Sittard A 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 +1 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
18 Heracles Almelo H 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19

Team Form

Heracles Almelo have lost 70% of their home matches this season, while Fortuna Sittard have been more resilient on the road (60% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fortuna Sittard regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 61% · BTTS No 39%

Match Goals

Fortuna Sittard regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Heracles Almelo have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Fortuna Sittard in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Heracles Almelo 0.5 scored · 1.8 conceded per home game Fortuna Sittard 1.2 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Heracles Almelo 5 scored / 18 conceded at home · Fortuna Sittard 12 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Heracles Almelo (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Fortuna Sittard (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Heracles Almelo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Fortuna Sittard have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Heracles Almelo — last 10 home A Fortuna Sittard — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Heracles Almelo and Fortuna Sittard. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Nov 2025
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Heracles Almelo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2025
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Heracles Almelo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Dec 2024
Heracles Almelo
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Fortuna Sittard
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 May 2024
Heracles Almelo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
10 Nov 2023
Fortuna Sittard
4 – 1 HT: 4-0
Heracles Almelo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Apr 2022
Fortuna Sittard
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Heracles Almelo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Nov 2021
Heracles Almelo
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Fortuna Sittard
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Feb 2021
Fortuna Sittard
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Heracles Almelo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Dec 2020
Heracles Almelo
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Fortuna Sittard
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Feb 2020
Heracles
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Heracles Almelo 2.15 Model: 45%
Draw 3.55 Model: 24%
Value Fortuna Sittard 3.45 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.75 Model: 61%
No 2 Model: 39%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 81%
Value Over 2.5 1.9 Model: 59%
Value Over 3.5 3.19 Model: 37%
Under 1.5 4 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 1.9 Model: 41%
Under 3.5 1.39 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.29 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.83

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.19 Model: 70%
Over 9.5 1.34 Model: 58%
Over 10.5 1.72 Model: 46%
Over 11.5 1.91 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Heracles Almelo 2.87 Model: 36%
Draw 2.32 Model: 40%
Fortuna Sittard 4.07 Model: 25%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw 1.33 Model: 68%
Heracles Almelo or Fortuna Sittard 1.33 Model: 76%
Draw or Fortuna Sittard 1.72 Model: 55%

Heracles Almelo Goals

Over 0.5 1.19 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.1 Model: 47%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 68%
Value Over 1.5 2.97 Model: 37%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard?

Over 1.5 Goals — Heracles Almelo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Fortuna Sittard in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Heracles Almelo or Fortuna Sittard?

Fortuna Sittard hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Heracles Almelo at home (10% wins) in Eredivisie. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Heracles Almelo and Fortuna Sittard?

Possibly — Fortuna Sittard regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Heracles Almelo and Fortuna Sittard?

Possibly — Fortuna Sittard regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Heracles Almelo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Heracles Almelo or Fortuna Sittard?

Fortuna Sittard have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Heracles Almelo's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Heracles Almelo and Fortuna Sittard?

Heracles Almelo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Fortuna Sittard in 60% of away games in Eredivisie. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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