Homeboyz vs Mathare United Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Homeboyz sit 5th in the table after 23 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Mathare United are 13th after 24 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Homeboyz have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Mathare United have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Homeboyz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Mathare United in 40% away (4/10). Homeboyz average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Mathare United 0.8 and 1.3 on the road.

Mathare United regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Homeboyz are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Homeboyz see 8+ in 80% of home games, Mathare United in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Homeboyz have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mathare United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Homeboyz (5th) and Mathare United (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz H 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United A 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Mathare United have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Homeboyz have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mathare United regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Homeboyz are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Homeboyz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mathare United in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Homeboyz have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Mathare United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Homeboyz regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Homeboyz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mathare United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Homeboyz (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Homeboyz vs Mathare United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs Mathare United?

Under 3.5 Goals — Homeboyz have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mathare United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Homeboyz or Mathare United?

Homeboyz have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mathare United on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Homeboyz and Mathare United?

Mixed — Homeboyz have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Mathare United in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Homeboyz and Mathare United?

Uncertain — Homeboyz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mathare United in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Homeboyz or Mathare United?

Homeboyz have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Mathare United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Homeboyz and Mathare United?

Possibly — Homeboyz regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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