Independiente del Valle vs Leones del Norte — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador
🕒 Saturday 25th April, 20:10 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Independiente del Valle (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Leones del Norte on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Leones del Norte tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Independiente del Valle are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Leones del Norte regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Independiente del Valle are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Independiente del Valle usually generate 8+ corners at home (90%), while Leones del Norte are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Independiente del Valle have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Liga Pro table for the 2026 season, with Independiente del Valle (th) and Leones del Norte (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Pro 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle H 7 5 1 1 13:6 +7 16
2 Universidad Católica 8 4 4 0 13:4 +9 16
3 Barcelona Guayaquil 8 4 3 1 8:4 +4 15
4 Deportivo Cuenca 7 3 2 2 7:5 +2 11
5 Técnico Universitario 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
6 Delfin 8 3 2 3 4:4 0 11
7 Macará 7 2 4 1 5:3 +2 10
8 LDU Quito 8 3 1 4 7:9 -2 10
9 Mushuc Runa 8 2 4 2 9:9 0 10
10 Libertad 8 2 4 2 8:8 0 10
11 Aucas 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
12 Orense 8 2 2 4 11:14 -3 8
13 Emelec 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
14 Leones del Norte A 8 1 4 3 4:9 -5 7
15 Guayaquil City 7 1 3 3 3:8 -5 6
16 Manta 8 1 1 6 2:9 -7 4

Team Form

Leones del Norte have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Independiente del Valle have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leones del Norte regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Independiente del Valle are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Independiente del Valle have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Leones del Norte in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Leones del Norte are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Independiente del Valle win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Leones del Norte (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Independiente del Valle vs Leones del Norte Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Leones del Norte?

Under 3.5 Goals — Independiente del Valle have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Independiente del Valle or Leones del Norte?

Independiente del Valle have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Leones del Norte on the road (20% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Independiente del Valle and Leones del Norte?

Possibly — Leones del Norte regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Independiente del Valle are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Independiente del Valle and Leones del Norte?

Uncertain — Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Independiente del Valle or Leones del Norte?

Leones del Norte have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Independiente del Valle's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Independiente del Valle and Leones del Norte?

Possibly — Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Leones del Norte are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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