Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Independiente hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Defensa y Justicia are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Independiente frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Defensa y Justicia are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Independiente 50% at home, Defensa y Justicia 30% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Independiente have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season, with Independiente (th) and Defensa y Justicia (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente Rivadavia 13 9 2 2 23:13 +10 29
2 Estudiantes 13 7 3 3 16:7 +9 24
3 River Plate 12 7 2 3 17:9 +8 23
4 Argentinos Juniors 13 6 5 2 14:10 +4 23
5 Belgrano 13 6 4 3 13:12 +1 22
6 Vélez Sarsfield 12 6 4 2 14:9 +5 22
7 Boca Juniors 13 5 6 2 15:8 +7 21
8 Rosario Central 12 6 3 3 14:10 +4 21
9 Barracas Central 13 5 4 4 13:12 +1 19
10 Defensa y Justicia A 12 4 7 1 15:10 +5 19
11 Lanús 12 5 4 3 17:14 +3 19
12 Unión Santa Fe 13 5 4 4 19:14 +5 19
13 Racing Club 12 5 3 4 15:11 +4 18
14 Independiente H 13 4 6 3 19:16 +3 18
15 Talleres Córdoba 12 5 3 4 12:11 +1 18
16 Tigre 12 4 5 3 16:12 +4 17
17 Huracán 12 4 5 3 12:9 +3 17
18 San Lorenzo 12 4 5 3 12:12 0 17
19 Instituto 13 5 2 6 14:15 -1 17
20 Sarmiento 12 5 1 6 10:12 -2 16
21 Platense 12 3 6 3 6:7 -1 15
22 Gimnasia La Plata 12 4 2 6 13:18 -5 14
23 Banfield 12 4 1 7 14:16 -2 13
24 Central Cordoba SdE 12 3 3 6 6:15 -9 12
25 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 12 3 3 6 9:15 -6 12
26 Atlético Tucumán 12 2 3 7 13:18 -5 9
27 Newell's Old Boys 12 2 3 7 10:23 -13 9
28 Deportivo Riestra 13 0 7 6 3:10 -7 7
29 Aldosivi 13 0 6 7 3:14 -11 6
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 13 1 2 10 4:19 -15 5

Team Form

Independiente hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Defensa y Justicia have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Independiente have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Independiente have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Defensa y Justicia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Independiente regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Defensa y Justicia are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Independiente have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Defensa y Justicia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Independiente (Home Form) Defensa y Justicia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Independiente 1.72
Draw 3.6
Defensa y Justicia 4.9

Half Time Result

Independiente 2.33
Draw 2.12
Defensa y Justicia 5

Double Chance

Independiente or Draw 1.17
Independiente or Defensa y Justicia 1.28
Draw or Defensa y Justicia 2.06

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05
No 1.73

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 4.1
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.56
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.38

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.97

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 1.62
Over 1.5 4.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Independiente have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Independiente or Defensa y Justicia?

Independiente hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol this season, while Defensa y Justicia have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia?

Mixed — Independiente have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia?

Uncertain — Independiente have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensa y Justicia in 30% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Independiente or Defensa y Justicia?

Independiente have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Defensa y Justicia's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia?

Possibly — Independiente regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Defensa y Justicia are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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