Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico 🕒 Thursday 26th February, 01:00 GMT

Irapuato vs Atlante Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Irapuato Home · 6th 4W 5D 1L last 10 home
VS
Atlante Away · 11th 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Irapuato 44% Draw 27% Atlante 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Irapuato vs Atlante Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Irapuato see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
44% Irapuato win 27% Draw 29% Atlante win 55% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
72% Under 3.5 Goals

Irapuato sit 6th in the table after 21 games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Atlante are 11th after 17 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Irapuato have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Atlante have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Irapuato have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Atlante are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Irapuato in 60% of home games (6/10), Atlante in 60% away (6/10). Irapuato have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Atlante in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Irapuato see 8+ in 60% of home games, Atlante in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Irapuato (6th) and Atlante (11th) sit in the Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Atlante A 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
7 Irapuato H 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
View the full Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 42 22 12 8 58:41 +17 78
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 40 15 15 10 54:38 +16 60
4 Atlante A 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato H 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Atlante have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Irapuato have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Irapuato have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Atlante in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Irapuato frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Atlante are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Irapuato have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Atlante in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Irapuato 2.3 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Atlante 1.7 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Irapuato 23 scored / 14 conceded at home · Atlante 17 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Irapuato (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Atlante (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Irapuato have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlante have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Irapuato — last 10 home A Atlante — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Irapuato and Atlante. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
Atlante
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Irapuato
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jan 2015
Irapuato
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Aug 2014
Atlante
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Irapuato
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Irapuato vs Atlante across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Irapuato 2.86 Model: 44%
Draw 3.6 Model: 27%
Atlante 2.25 Model: 29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7 Model: 55%
No 2.01 Model: 45%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26 Model: 75%
Over 2.5 1.88 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 3.48 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.2 Model: 25%
Under 2.5 1.82 Model: 49%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.95

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31 Model: 54%
Over 9.5 1.79 Model: 42%
Over 10.5 2.63 Model: 32%
Over 11.5 2.78 Model: 23%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Irapuato 3.4 Model: 34%
Draw 2.22 Model: 41%
Atlante 2.96 Model: 25%

Double Chance

Value Irapuato or Draw 1.51 Model: 71%
Irapuato or Atlante 1.25 Model: 73%
Draw or Atlante 1.36 Model: 56%

Irapuato Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 77%
Value Over 1.5 2.82 Model: 43%

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 65%
Over 1.5 2.34 Model: 32%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Irapuato vs Atlante Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Irapuato vs Atlante?

Over 1.5 Goals — Irapuato see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Irapuato or Atlante?

Irapuato have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlante on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Irapuato and Atlante?

Mixed — Irapuato have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Atlante in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Irapuato and Atlante?

Possibly — Irapuato frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Atlante are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Irapuato or Atlante?

Irapuato have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Atlante's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Irapuato and Atlante?

Irapuato have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlante in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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