Jaiba Brava vs Morelia Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Jaiba Brava sit 10th in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Morelia are 2nd after 29 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Jaiba Brava have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Morelia have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Jaiba Brava have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Morelia in 40% away. Jaiba Brava average 1.1 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Morelia 0.9 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Jaiba Brava at 30% in home games (3/10), Morelia at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Jaiba Brava regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Jaiba Brava have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Morelia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Jaiba Brava (10th) and Morelia (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava H 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia A 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Jaiba Brava have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Jaiba Brava have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Jaiba Brava have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Jaiba Brava have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Morelia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Jaiba Brava regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Jaiba Brava win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Jaiba Brava and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

09 Nov 2025
Morelia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Jaiba Brava
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Jaiba Brava vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Jaiba Brava 1.9
Draw 3.8
Morelia 3.9

Half Time Result

Jaiba Brava 2.65
Draw 2.27
Morelia 4.21

Double Chance

Jaiba Brava or Draw 1.29
Jaiba Brava or Morelia 1.25
Draw or Morelia 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.82
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.8
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.39
Over 10.5 1.81
Over 11.5 2.18

Jaiba Brava Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.01

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.06

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Jaiba Brava vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Jaiba Brava vs Morelia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Jaiba Brava have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Morelia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Jaiba Brava or Morelia?

Jaiba Brava have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Morelia on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Jaiba Brava and Morelia?

Mixed — Jaiba Brava have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Jaiba Brava and Morelia?

Uncertain — Jaiba Brava have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Jaiba Brava or Morelia?

Morelia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Jaiba Brava's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Jaiba Brava and Morelia?

Possibly — Jaiba Brava regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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