Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 18th January, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Jaiba Brava sit 12th in the table after 9 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Tepatitlán de Morelos are 11th after 14 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Jaiba Brava have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Jaiba Brava have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% away. Jaiba Brava average 1.1 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.7 and 1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Jaiba Brava have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Tepatitlán de Morelos in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Jaiba Brava regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Jaiba Brava have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Jaiba Brava (12th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava H 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Jaiba Brava have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Jaiba Brava (30% BTTS at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Jaiba Brava (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Jaiba Brava have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Jaiba Brava (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Jaiba Brava win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Jaiba Brava (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Jaiba Brava and Tepatitlán de Morelos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Nov 2025
Jaiba Brava
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Nov 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Jaiba Brava
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Aug 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Jaiba Brava
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Jaiba Brava 1.85
Draw 3.4
Tepatitlán de Morelos 4.63

Half Time Result

Jaiba Brava 2.4
Draw 2.2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 4.33

Double Chance

Jaiba Brava or Draw 1.22
Jaiba Brava or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.3
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.83

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 3.5 3.1
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 9.5 1.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • PR Surf vs Ponce 01:30 BST | Liga Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico PR Surf have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Ponce have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    80% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.37
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.03
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Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Jaiba Brava have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Jaiba Brava or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Jaiba Brava have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Jaiba Brava and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Unlikely — Jaiba Brava (30% BTTS at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga de Expansión MX. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Jaiba Brava and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Unlikely — Jaiba Brava (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Jaiba Brava or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Jaiba Brava have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Jaiba Brava and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Jaiba Brava (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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