Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 03:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Las Vegas Lights (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Lexington on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Las Vegas Lights at 20% at home and Lexington at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Las Vegas Lights at 40% at home and Lexington at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Lexington regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Las Vegas Lights have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Lexington in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2026 season, with Las Vegas Lights (th) and Lexington (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 7 5 1 1 15:9 +6 16
2 Orange County 8 4 3 1 7:3 +4 15
3 San Antonio 8 4 3 1 8:5 +3 15
4 Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 4 2 0 11:4 +7 14
5 El Paso Locomotive 6 4 1 1 16:8 +8 13
6 Charleston Battery 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
7 Hartford Athletic 7 2 4 1 7:7 0 10
8 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 7 3 1 3 10:12 -2 10
9 Detroit City 6 3 1 2 7:4 +3 10
10 Phoenix Rising 7 2 3 2 11:8 +3 9
11 Sacramento Republic 6 2 3 1 7:4 +3 9
12 Oakland Roots 6 2 3 1 8:7 +1 9
13 Miami FC II 7 2 3 2 7:10 -3 9
14 Indy Eleven 6 2 3 1 10:8 +2 9
15 Colorado Springs 6 2 2 2 12:10 +2 8
16 New Mexico United 5 2 0 3 5:8 -3 6
17 Tulsa Roughnecks 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
18 Lexington A 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
19 Brooklyn FC 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
20 Birmingham Legion 6 1 3 2 7:8 -1 6
21 Las Vegas Lights H 6 1 2 3 9:11 -2 5
22 Rhode Island 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
23 Loudoun United 6 0 4 2 8:11 -3 4
24 Monterey Bay 7 0 2 5 3:13 -10 2
25 Sporting JAX 7 0 1 6 5:14 -9 1

Team Form

Lexington have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Las Vegas Lights have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Las Vegas Lights (40% BTTS at home) and Lexington (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Las Vegas Lights have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Lexington in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Las Vegas Lights have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lexington have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.94
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Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?

Under 2.5 Goals — Las Vegas Lights have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Lexington in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Las Vegas Lights or Lexington?

Las Vegas Lights have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Lexington on the road (20% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?

Unlikely — Las Vegas Lights (40% BTTS at home) and Lexington (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?

Uncertain — Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Las Vegas Lights or Lexington?

Lexington have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Las Vegas Lights's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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