Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 03:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Las Vegas Lights have won 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Las Vegas Lights at 20% at home and Sacramento Republic at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Las Vegas Lights at 40% at home and Sacramento Republic at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Sacramento Republic regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Las Vegas Lights have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2026 season, with Las Vegas Lights (20th) and Sacramento Republic (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Orange County 7 4 2 1 7:3 +4 14
2 Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 4 2 0 11:4 +7 14
3 El Paso Locomotive 5 4 1 0 14:5 +9 13
4 Louisville City 6 4 1 1 14:9 +5 13
5 San Antonio 7 3 3 1 5:3 +2 12
6 Charleston Battery 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
7 Detroit City 5 3 1 1 6:2 +4 10
8 Hartford Athletic 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
9 Sacramento Republic A 6 2 3 1 7:4 +3 9
10 Miami FC II 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
11 Oakland Roots 5 2 2 1 7:6 +1 8
12 Indy Eleven 5 2 2 1 8:6 +2 8
13 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
14 New Mexico United 5 2 0 3 5:8 -3 6
15 Phoenix Rising 6 1 3 2 8:8 0 6
16 Brooklyn FC 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
17 Las Vegas Lights H 6 1 2 3 9:11 -2 5
18 Colorado Springs 5 1 2 2 8:9 -1 5
19 Tulsa Roughnecks 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
20 Lexington 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
21 Birmingham Legion 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
22 Rhode Island 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
23 Loudoun United 5 0 3 2 8:11 -3 3
24 Monterey Bay 6 0 2 4 2:9 -7 2
25 Sporting JAX 6 0 1 5 5:13 -8 1

Team Form

Las Vegas Lights (40% home wins) and Sacramento Republic (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Las Vegas Lights (40% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Las Vegas Lights (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Las Vegas Lights have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Las Vegas Lights have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Las Vegas Lights (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Jul 2025
Las Vegas Lights
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sacramento Republic
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jun 2025
Sacramento Republic
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Las Vegas Lights
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 May 2025
Sacramento Republic
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
Las Vegas Lights
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Nov 2024
Las Vegas Lights
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sacramento Republic
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Las Vegas Lights
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Sacramento Republic
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jul 2024
Sacramento Republic
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2023
Sacramento Republic
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jul 2023
Las Vegas Lights
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Sacramento Republic
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2022
Las Vegas Lights
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Sacramento Republic
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2022
Sacramento Republic
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Las Vegas Lights 3.22
Draw 2.92
Sacramento Republic 2.2

Half Time Result

Las Vegas Lights 4.22
Draw 2.07
Sacramento Republic 2.93

Double Chance

Las Vegas Lights or Draw 1.52
Las Vegas Lights or Sacramento Republic 1.27
Draw or Sacramento Republic 1.27

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.92
No 1.77

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 1.5 2.59
Under 2.5 1.6
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.51
Over 9.5 1.9
Over 10.5 2.96
Over 11.5 3.12

Las Vegas Lights Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.25

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?

Under 2.5 Goals — Las Vegas Lights have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Las Vegas Lights or Sacramento Republic?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Las Vegas Lights have won 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic 40% away in USL Championship. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic?

Unlikely — Las Vegas Lights (40% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic?

Unlikely — Las Vegas Lights (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in USL Championship. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Las Vegas Lights or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Las Vegas Lights's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic?

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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