Lecce vs Fiorentina — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Monday 20th April, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Fiorentina have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Lecce are less dominant at home (4/10, 40%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Fiorentina have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 90%), while Lecce are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Fiorentina regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Lecce are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Lecce have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Fiorentina in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lecce (th) and Fiorentina (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 31 23 3 5 71:26 +45 72
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48:31 +17 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47:27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55:29 +26 60
5 Como 31 16 10 5 53:22 +31 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45:28 +17 57
7 Atalanta 32 14 11 7 44:28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42:37 +5 48
9 Lazio 31 11 11 9 32:29 +3 44
10 Udinese 32 12 7 13 38:42 -4 43
11 Sassuolo 32 12 6 14 39:43 -4 42
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37:54 -17 39
13 Parma 32 8 12 12 23:40 -17 36
14 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38:45 -7 36
15 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33:44 -11 33
16 Fiorentina A 31 7 11 13 36:44 -8 32
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26:47 -21 27
18 Lecce H 32 7 6 19 21:45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23:55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23:58 -35 18

Team Form

Fiorentina have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Lecce have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fiorentina regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Lecce are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Fiorentina regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Lecce are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Lecce have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Fiorentina in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Lecce have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Fiorentina in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lecce have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Fiorentina have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lecce (Home Form) Fiorentina (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lecce and Fiorentina. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
Fiorentina
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Lecce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Feb 2025
Fiorentina
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lecce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Oct 2024
Lecce
0 – 6 HT: 0-3
Fiorentina
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2024
Lecce
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Aug 2023
Fiorentina
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Lecce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2023
Fiorentina
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lecce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Oct 2022
Lecce
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jul 2020
Lecce
1 – 3 HT: 0-3
Fiorentina
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Nov 2019
Fiorentina
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lecce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 May 2012
Lecce
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Fiorentina
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lecce vs Fiorentina across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lecce 3.44
Draw 3.4
Fiorentina 2.19

Half Time Result

Lecce 4
Draw 2.1
Fiorentina 2.87

Double Chance

Lecce or Draw 1.7
Lecce or Fiorentina 1.36
Draw or Fiorentina 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86
No 2.02

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.2
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 2.86
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Over 2.5 Goals — Lecce have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Fiorentina in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lecce or Fiorentina?

Fiorentina arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Serie A this season compared to Lecce's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Lecce and Fiorentina?

Mixed — Lecce have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Fiorentina in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lecce and Fiorentina?

Possibly — Fiorentina regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Lecce are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lecce or Fiorentina?

Fiorentina have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Lecce's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lecce and Fiorentina?

Lecce have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Fiorentina in 30% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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