Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Premier League)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Leeds United sit 12th in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. AFC Bournemouth are 4th after 3 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Leeds United have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a AFC Bournemouth side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Leeds United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); AFC Bournemouth in 40% away (4/10). Leeds United average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, AFC Bournemouth 1.4 and 0.8 on the road.

AFC Bournemouth regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Leeds United are lower at home (20%, 2/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

AFC Bournemouth are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Leeds United are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, AFC Bournemouth in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leeds United (12th) and AFC Bournemouth (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71:27	+44	85
2	Manchester City	38	23	9	6	77:35	+42	78
3	Manchester United	38	20	11	7	69:50	+19	71
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56:49	+7	65
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63:53	+10	60
6	AFC Bournemouth A	38	13	18	7	58:54	+4	57
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42:48	-6	54
8	Brentford	38	14	11	13	55:52	+3	53
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	14	11	13	52:46	+6	53
10	Fulham	38	15	7	16	47:51	-4	52
11	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58:52	+6	52
12	Newcastle United	38	14	7	17	53:55	-2	49
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	47:50	-3	49
14	Leeds United H	38	11	14	13	49:56	-7	47
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
16	Nottingham Forest	38	11	11	16	48:51	-3	44
17	Tottenham Hotspur	38	10	11	17	48:57	-9	41
18	West Ham United	38	10	9	19	46:65	-19	39
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	38:75	-37	22
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	3	11	24	27:68	-41	20

Team Form

Leeds United hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while AFC Bournemouth have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	6 (60%)	5 (50%)
Drawn	1 (10%)	5 (50%)
Lost	3 (30%)	0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AFC Bournemouth regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Leeds United are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	2 (20%)	6 (60%)

Match Goals

Leeds United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, AFC Bournemouth in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals	3 (30%)	1 (10%)

Under Goals

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals	5 (50%)	3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals	7 (70%)	9 (90%)

Team Goals

Leeds United have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, AFC Bournemouth in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goal Totals

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	14 (1.4 avg)	14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	8 (0.8 avg)	8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

AFC Bournemouth frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners	6 (60%)	9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners	6 (60%)	7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners	3 (30%)	5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners	3 (30%)	4 (40%)

Team Corners

Leeds United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

AFC Bournemouth have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	9 (90%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	5 (50%)	3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

	Leeds United (Home Form)	AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Leeds United and AFC Bournemouth. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Apr, 2023

AFC Bournemouth

4 – 1 HT: 2-1

Leeds United

Corners 2–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

5th Nov, 2022

Leeds United

4 – 3 HT: 1-2

AFC Bournemouth

Corners 13–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

20th Jan, 2015

Leeds United

1 – 0 HT: 1-0

AFC Bournemouth