Leeds United vs Burnley — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Friday 1st May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Leeds United (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Burnley on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Burnley tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (100%), while Leeds United are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Leeds United regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leeds United (th) and Burnley (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63:26 +37 70
2 Manchester City 32 20 7 5 65:29 +36 67
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58:45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47:41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54:43 +11 55
6 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48:44 +4 48
7 AFC Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50:50 0 48
8 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 53:42 +11 48
9 Everton 33 13 8 12 40:39 +1 47
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 33 12 11 10 45:39 +6 47
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36:40 -4 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43:46 -3 45
13 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 35:36 -1 43
14 Newcastle United 33 12 6 15 46:49 -3 42
15 Leeds United H 33 9 12 12 42:49 -7 39
16 Nottingham Forest 33 9 9 15 36:45 -9 36
17 West Ham United 33 8 9 16 40:57 -17 33
18 Tottenham Hotspur 33 7 10 16 42:53 -11 31
19 Burnley A 33 4 8 21 34:67 -33 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 3 8 22 24:61 -37 17

Team Form

Burnley have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Leeds United have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Leeds United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Leeds United have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Leeds United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Leeds United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Leeds United and Burnley. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
Burnley
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2025
Burnley
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2024
Leeds United
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jan 2022
Leeds United
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Aug 2021
Burnley
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 May 2021
Burnley
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Dec 2020
Leeds United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Sep 2017
Burnley
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2016
Burnley
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leeds United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Aug 2015
Leeds United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Leeds United vs Burnley across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Leeds United 1.45
Draw 4.2
Burnley 7

Half Time Result

Leeds United 1.95
Draw 2.5
Burnley 6.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.26
Under 3.5 1.45

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.5

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.53

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.66
Over 1.5 4.33

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • St. Andrew Lions vs Wotton 02:00 BST | Premier League, Barbados St. Andrew Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Wotton have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Jeddeloh vs VfB Lübeck 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Nord, Germany Jeddeloh have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/14 home matches this season · VfB Lübeck have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
  • Vejle Boldklub vs Silkeborg IF 17:00 BST | Superliga, Denmark Vejle Boldklub have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · Silkeborg IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
    74% combined
  • Brittons Hill vs Bagatelle 00:00 BST | Premier League, Barbados Brittons Hill have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Bagatelle have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.82
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Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leeds United vs Burnley?

Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Leeds United or Burnley?

Leeds United have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Burnley on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Leeds United and Burnley?

Possibly — Burnley regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leeds United and Burnley?

Uncertain — Leeds United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leeds United or Burnley?

Leeds United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Burnley's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leeds United and Burnley?

Possibly — Leeds United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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