Leeds United vs Newcastle United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 30th August, 17:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Leeds United have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Newcastle United have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (100% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leeds United (13th) and Newcastle United (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United A 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United H 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Leeds United (40% home wins) and Newcastle United (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Leeds United have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Leeds United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Leeds United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Leeds United and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th May, 2023
Leeds United
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
Corners 2–6 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Dec, 2022
Newcastle United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
Corners 9–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2022
Leeds United
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Newcastle United
Corners 6–7 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Sep, 2021
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Leeds United
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jan, 2021
Newcastle United
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Leeds United
Corners 9–4 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Dec, 2020
Leeds United
5 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Apr, 2017
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
Corners 19– Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Nov, 2016
Leeds United
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
Corners 10–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Sep, 2013
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leeds United
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jul, 2011
Leeds United
3 – 2 HT:
Newcastle United
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Leeds United vs Newcastle United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Leeds United 3.9
Draw 3.38
Newcastle United 2.1

Half Time Result

Leeds United 3.98
Draw 2.23
Newcastle United 2.88

Double Chance

Leeds United or Draw 1.7
Leeds United or Newcastle United 1.31
Draw or Newcastle United 1.28

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.97
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.93

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 2.06
Over 11.5 2.32

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.9
Over 2.5 8.7

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.25
Over 2.5 5.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Leeds United or Newcastle United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Leeds United have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leeds United or Newcastle United?

Leeds United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Newcastle United's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Yes — both Leeds United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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