Leeds United vs Newcastle United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 30th August, 17:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Leeds United (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Newcastle United on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Newcastle United have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Leeds United regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Newcastle United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leeds United (13th) and Newcastle United (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63:26 +37 70
2 Manchester City 32 20 7 5 65:29 +36 67
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58:45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47:41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54:43 +11 55
6 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48:44 +4 48
7 AFC Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50:50 0 48
8 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 53:42 +11 48
9 Everton 33 13 8 12 40:39 +1 47
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 33 12 11 10 45:39 +6 47
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36:40 -4 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43:46 -3 45
13 Newcastle United A 33 12 6 15 46:49 -3 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Leeds United H 33 9 12 12 42:49 -7 39
16 Nottingham Forest 33 9 9 15 36:45 -9 36
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 33 7 10 16 42:53 -11 31
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34:67 -33 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 3 8 22 24:61 -37 17

Team Form

Newcastle United have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Leeds United have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Leeds United have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Leeds United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Leeds United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Leeds United (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Leeds United and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th May, 2023
Leeds United
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
Corners 2–6 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Dec, 2022
Newcastle United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
Corners 9–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2022
Leeds United
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Newcastle United
Corners 6–7 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Sep, 2021
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Leeds United
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jan, 2021
Newcastle United
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Leeds United
Corners 9–4 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Dec, 2020
Leeds United
5 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Apr, 2017
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Leeds United
Corners 19– Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Nov, 2016
Leeds United
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
Corners 10–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Sep, 2013
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leeds United
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jul, 2011
Leeds United
3 – 2 HT:
Newcastle United
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Leeds United vs Newcastle United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Leeds United 3.9
Draw 3.38
Newcastle United 2.1

Half Time Result

Leeds United 3.98
Draw 2.23
Newcastle United 2.88

Double Chance

Leeds United or Draw 1.7
Leeds United or Newcastle United 1.31
Draw or Newcastle United 1.28

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.97
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.93

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 2.06
Over 11.5 2.32

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.9
Over 2.5 8.7

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.25
Over 2.5 5.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Over 8.5 Corners — Leeds United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Leeds United or Newcastle United?

Leeds United have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Newcastle United on the road (40% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Leeds United are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leeds United are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leeds United or Newcastle United?

Leeds United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Newcastle United's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leeds United and Newcastle United?

Yes — both Leeds United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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