Leioa vs Derio — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Leioa hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Derio are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Leioa consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Derio are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Leioa and Derio frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Leioa see both teams score in 70% of home games, Derio in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leioa (th) and Derio (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 29 22 5 2 61:19 +42 71
2 Leioa H 29 16 5 8 42:28 +14 53
3 Touring 29 15 8 6 40:27 +13 53
4 Lagun Onak 29 16 4 9 47:26 +21 52
5 San Ignacio 29 14 6 9 32:22 +10 48
6 Aurrerá Vitoria 29 14 6 9 37:34 +3 48
7 Derio A 29 14 5 10 47:36 +11 47
8 Deportivo Alavés III 29 11 9 9 45:33 +12 42
9 Aretxabaleta 29 11 6 12 46:49 -3 39
10 Real Sociedad III 29 11 5 13 30:35 -5 38
11 Durango 29 9 9 11 29:30 -1 36
12 Santurtzi 29 7 11 11 27:36 -9 32
13 Pasaia KE 29 7 9 13 20:33 -13 30
14 Añorga 29 9 3 17 29:51 -22 30
15 Zamudio 29 8 5 16 32:50 -18 29
16 Eibar III 29 7 7 15 32:47 -15 28
17 Zarautz 29 7 5 17 25:51 -26 26
18 Deusto 29 6 6 17 21:35 -14 24

Team Form

Leioa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Derio have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leioa have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Derio in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Leioa frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Derio are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Leioa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Derio in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Leioa have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Derio in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Leioa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Derio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Derio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.48
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Leioa vs Derio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leioa vs Derio?

Both Teams to Score — Leioa see BTTS in 70% of home games, Derio in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Leioa or Derio?

Leioa hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 4 this season, while Derio have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Leioa and Derio?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Leioa have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Derio in 70% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leioa and Derio?

Possibly — Leioa frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Derio are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leioa or Derio?

Leioa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Derio's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leioa and Derio?

Leioa have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Derio in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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Zamudio vs Pasaia KE

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Santurtzi vs Real Sociedad III

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Aurrerá Vitoria vs Touring

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Añorga vs Portugalete

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Durango vs Deusto

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 12th April, 01:00 BST

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Deportivo Alavés III vs Zarautz

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 12th April, 01:00 BST

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Eibar III vs San Ignacio

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 12th April, 01:00 BST

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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