Leioa vs Real Sociedad III — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Saturday 24th January, 16:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Leioa (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Real Sociedad III on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Leioa frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Real Sociedad III are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Leioa often see both teams score at home (70%), while Real Sociedad III are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Leioa see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leioa (4th) and Real Sociedad III (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 30 22 5 3 62:23 +39 71
2 Touring 30 16 8 6 42:27 +15 56
3 Leioa H 30 16 6 8 42:28 +14 54
4 Lagun Onak 30 16 4 10 48:28 +20 52
5 San Ignacio 30 14 7 9 33:23 +10 49
6 Aurrerá Vitoria 30 14 6 10 37:36 +1 48
7 Derio 30 14 6 10 47:36 +11 48
8 Deportivo Alavés III 30 12 9 9 50:34 +16 45
9 Aretxabaleta 30 12 6 12 48:50 -2 42
10 Real Sociedad III A 30 12 5 13 33:35 -2 41
11 Durango 30 9 10 11 30:31 -1 37
12 Añorga 30 10 3 17 33:52 -19 33
13 Santurtzi 30 7 11 12 27:39 -12 32
14 Zamudio 30 9 5 16 39:50 -11 32
15 Pasaia KE 30 7 9 14 20:40 -20 30
16 Eibar III 30 7 8 15 33:48 -15 29
17 Zarautz 30 7 5 18 26:56 -30 26
18 Deusto 30 6 7 17 22:36 -14 25

Team Form

Real Sociedad III have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Leioa have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leioa frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Real Sociedad III are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Leioa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Leioa have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Real Sociedad III in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Leioa (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Leioa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Real Sociedad III have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Leioa vs Real Sociedad III across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Leioa 2.09
Draw 3.02
Real Sociedad III 3.65

Half Time Result

Leioa 2.77
Draw 1.87
Real Sociedad III 4.68

Double Chance

Leioa or Draw 1.21
Leioa or Real Sociedad III 1.29
Draw or Real Sociedad III 1.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.99
No 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.14

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.34

Leioa Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.37

Real Sociedad III Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.66

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?

Over 1.5 Goals — Leioa see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Leioa or Real Sociedad III?

Leioa have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Real Sociedad III on the road (20% wins) in Tercera - Group 4. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Possibly — Leioa frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Real Sociedad III are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Uncertain — Leioa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leioa or Real Sociedad III?

Leioa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Real Sociedad III's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Unlikely — Leioa (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 4.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Pasaia KE vs Aretxabaleta

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Wednesday 15th April, 19:00 BST

Touring vs Deportivo Alavés III

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:00 BST

Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:00 BST

Lagun Onak vs Durango

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Thursday 16th April, 19:30 BST

Portugalete vs Eibar III

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Friday 17th April, 18:00 BST

San Ignacio vs Leioa

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Deusto vs Añorga

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Zarautz vs Santurtzi

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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