Leioa vs Real Sociedad III Football Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Saturday 24th January, 16:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Leioa sit 4th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Real Sociedad III are 7th after 15 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Leioa have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Real Sociedad III have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Real Sociedad III have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Leioa are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Leioa frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Real Sociedad III are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Leioa see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Leioa have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leioa (4th) and Real Sociedad III (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 +41 78
2 Leioa H 34 18 7 9 50:34 +16 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 +20 57
5 Touring 34 16 9 9 47:35 +12 57
6 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 +10 55
7 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 16 7 11 42:40 +2 55
8 Real Sociedad III A 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
9 Deportivo Alavés III 34 14 9 11 56:40 +16 51
10 Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
11 Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 -13 39
13 Añorga 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
14 Eibar III 34 9 9 16 44:53 -9 36
15 Pasaia KE 34 8 10 16 23:46 -23 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 8 6 20 30:60 -30 30
18 Deusto 33 6 7 20 24:46 -22 25

Team Form

Real Sociedad III have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Leioa have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leioa frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Real Sociedad III are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Real Sociedad III regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leioa are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Leioa have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Real Sociedad III in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Leioa (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Leioa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Real Sociedad III have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Leioa (Home Form) Real Sociedad III (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Leioa vs Real Sociedad III across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Leioa 2.09
Draw 3.02
Real Sociedad III 3.65

Half Time Result

Leioa 2.77
Draw 1.87
Real Sociedad III 4.68

Double Chance

Leioa or Draw 1.21
Leioa or Real Sociedad III 1.29
Draw or Real Sociedad III 1.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.99
No 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.14

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.34

Leioa Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.37

Real Sociedad III Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.66

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Leioa vs Real Sociedad III Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?

Over 2.5 Goals — Leioa have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Leioa or Real Sociedad III?

Leioa have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Real Sociedad III on the road (40% wins) in Tercera - Group 4. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Possibly — Leioa frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Real Sociedad III are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Possibly — Real Sociedad III regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Leioa are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leioa or Real Sociedad III?

Real Sociedad III have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Leioa's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leioa and Real Sociedad III?

Unlikely — Leioa (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 4.

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