Lens vs Metz — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 8th March, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Lens to Win

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 9/10 home matches (90%). Metz have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Metz have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Lens 50% at home, Metz 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Lens to Win — Lens have won 9/10 home games this season (90%), while Metz have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lens (2nd) and Metz (18th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens H 29 20 2 7 57:29 +28 62
3 LOSC Lille 30 16 6 8 49:34 +15 54
4 Rennes 30 15 8 7 52:41 +11 53
5 Olympique Marseille 30 16 4 10 58:40 +18 52
6 Olympique Lyonnais 29 15 6 8 43:29 +14 51
7 Monaco 30 15 5 10 52:45 +7 50
8 Strasbourg 29 12 7 10 46:37 +9 43
9 Lorient 30 10 11 9 40:44 -4 41
10 Paris 30 9 11 10 40:46 -6 38
11 Toulouse 30 10 7 13 41:42 -1 37
12 Brest 29 10 7 12 38:44 -6 37
13 Angers SCO 30 9 7 14 26:40 -14 34
14 Le Havre 30 6 12 12 25:38 -13 30
15 Nice 30 7 8 15 34:56 -22 29
16 Auxerre 30 5 10 15 25:39 -14 25
17 Nantes 29 4 8 17 25:46 -21 20
18 Metz A 30 3 6 21 27:66 -39 15

Team Form

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Metz's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lens have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Metz in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Metz regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lens have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Metz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lens (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Metz (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lens have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Metz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Metz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lens and Metz. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Oct 2025
Metz
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lens
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2024
Metz
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Lens
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Sep 2023
Lens
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2022
Metz
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lens
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Oct 2021
Lens
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Mar 2021
Lens
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Dec 2020
Metz
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lens
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2019
Lens
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2018
Metz
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lens
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2018
Lens
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lens vs Metz across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lens 1.27
Draw 6.8
Metz 10

Half Time Result

Lens 1.68
Draw 3
Metz 8.83

Double Chance

Lens or Draw 1.07
Lens or Metz 1.11
Draw or Metz 4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 3.5 2.22
Under 1.5 7.2
Under 2.5 3
Under 3.5 1.79

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.6
Over 10.5 2.35
Over 11.5 2.38

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.29

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 1.83
Over 1.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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Lens vs Metz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lens vs Metz?

Lens to Win — they've won 9/10 (90%) of their last 10 home games, while Metz have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Lens or Metz?

Lens hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Metz have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lens and Metz?

Mixed — Lens have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Metz in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lens and Metz?

Possibly — Metz regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lens or Metz?

Lens have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Metz's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lens and Metz?

Lens have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Metz in 30% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Le Havre vs Metz

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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