Lens vs Olympique Marseille — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Saturday 25th October, 20:05 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 9/10 home matches (90%). Olympique Marseille have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Olympique Marseille have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Lens at 40% at home and Olympique Marseille at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Lens have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lens (4th) and Olympique Marseille (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens H 28 19 2 7 54:27 +27 59
3 LOSC Lille 29 16 5 8 49:34 +15 53
4 Olympique Marseille A 29 16 4 9 58:38 +20 52
5 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49:41 +8 50
6 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50:43 +7 49
7 Olympique Lyonnais 28 14 6 8 41:29 +12 48
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46:34 +12 43
9 Lorient 28 9 11 8 38:42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 29 10 7 12 39:39 0 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37:43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37:45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 29 9 6 14 25:39 -14 33
14 Le Havre 29 6 11 12 24:37 -13 29
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34:56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23:37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24:45 -21 19
18 Metz 29 3 6 20 26:63 -37 15

Team Form

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Olympique Marseille's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lens (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Lens have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Olympique Marseille in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 26 (2.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lens (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Olympique Marseille (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lens have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lens and Olympique Marseille. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

8th Mar, 2025
Olympique Marseille
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lens
Corners 7–0 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Nov, 2024
Lens
1 – 3 HT: 0-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners 6–0 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Apr, 2024
Olympique Marseille
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Lens
Corners 3–11 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Nov, 2023
Lens
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th May, 2023
Lens
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners 7–7 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Oct, 2022
Olympique Marseille
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lens
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jan, 2022
Lens
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Olympique Marseille
Corners 8–5 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Sep, 2021
Olympique Marseille
2 – 3 HT: 2-2
Lens
Corners 5–7 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2021
Lens
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Olympique Marseille
Corners 8–4 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jan, 2021
Olympique Marseille
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lens
Corners 3–9 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lens vs Olympique Marseille across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lens 2.66
Draw 3.65
Olympique Marseille 2.82

Half Time Result

Lens 3.24
Draw 2.45
Olympique Marseille 3.2

Double Chance

Lens or Draw 1.44
Lens or Olympique Marseille 1.33
Draw or Olympique Marseille 1.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61
No 2.56

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.88
Under 1.5 4.84
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34
Over 9.5 1.61
Over 10.5 2.31
Over 11.5 2.56

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.23

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.17

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Lens vs Olympique Marseille Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lens vs Olympique Marseille?

Over 2.5 Goals — Lens have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lens or Olympique Marseille?

Lens hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Olympique Marseille have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lens and Olympique Marseille?

Unlikely — Lens (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Ligue 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lens and Olympique Marseille?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lens are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lens or Olympique Marseille?

Lens have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Olympique Marseille's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lens and Olympique Marseille?

Lens have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Strasbourg vs Rennes

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Nantes vs Brest

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Metz vs Paris

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 16:15 BST

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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