Leones del Norte vs Emelec — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador
🕒 Monday 4th May, 00:10 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Leones del Norte have won 20% of home games, Emelec 20% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Leones del Norte at 10% at home and Emelec at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Leones del Norte at 30% at home and Emelec at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Emelec in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga Pro table for the 2026 season, with Leones del Norte (th) and Emelec (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Pro 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 8 6 1 1 16:8 +8 19
2 Universidad Católica 9 5 4 0 15:4 +11 19
3 Aucas 9 4 3 2 11:8 +3 15
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 8 4 3 1 8:4 +4 15
5 Deportivo Cuenca 9 4 2 3 10:8 +2 14
6 Mushuc Runa 9 3 4 2 10:9 +1 13
7 Delfin 9 3 3 3 4:4 0 12
8 Guayaquil City 9 3 3 3 8:10 -2 12
9 Técnico Universitario 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
10 Macará 8 2 4 2 6:5 +1 10
11 LDU Quito 8 3 1 4 7:9 -2 10
12 Libertad 9 2 4 3 8:10 -2 10
13 Orense 9 2 3 4 11:14 -3 9
14 Emelec A 9 2 2 5 7:13 -6 8
15 Leones del Norte H 9 1 4 4 4:10 -6 7
16 Manta 9 1 1 7 2:10 -8 4

Team Form

Leones del Norte (20% home wins) and Emelec (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leones del Norte (30% BTTS at home) and Emelec (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Leones del Norte (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Emelec (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Leones del Norte have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Emelec in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 5 (0.5 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Leones del Norte (90% Over 7.5 at home) and Emelec (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Emelec have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Leones del Norte (Home Form) Emelec (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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Leones del Norte vs Emelec Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Emelec?

Under 2.5 Goals — Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Emelec in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Leones del Norte or Emelec?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Leones del Norte have won 20% of home games, Emelec 20% away in Liga Pro. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Leones del Norte and Emelec?

Unlikely — Leones del Norte (30% BTTS at home) and Emelec (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Pro. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leones del Norte and Emelec?

Unlikely — Leones del Norte (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Emelec (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Pro. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leones del Norte or Emelec?

Emelec have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Leones del Norte's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leones del Norte and Emelec?

Leones del Norte have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Emelec in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Universidad Católica vs Macará

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Leones del Norte vs Manta

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LDU Quito vs Aucas

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Delfin vs Independiente del Valle

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Técnico Universitario vs Emelec

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Match Stats

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James T. (London, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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