Leopards vs Mara Sugar Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 14:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Leopards sit 2nd in the table after 28 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Mara Sugar are 10th after 28 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Leopards have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Mara Sugar side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Leopards have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Mara Sugar in 50% away (5/10). Leopards average 1.5 scored and 1 conceded at home, Mara Sugar 1 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Leopards at 50% in home games (5/10), Mara Sugar at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Leopards see 8+ in 70% of home games, Mara Sugar in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Leopards have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mara Sugar in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Leopards (2nd) and Mara Sugar (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards H 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar A 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Leopards have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Mara Sugar's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leopards have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Leopards have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Leopards have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mara Sugar in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Leopards are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Leopards have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Leopards (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Leopards vs Mara Sugar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leopards vs Mara Sugar?

Under 3.5 Goals — Leopards have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mara Sugar in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Leopards or Mara Sugar?

Leopards hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while Mara Sugar have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Leopards and Mara Sugar?

Mixed — Leopards have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leopards and Mara Sugar?

Uncertain — Leopards have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leopards or Mara Sugar?

Mara Sugar have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Leopards's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leopards and Mara Sugar?

Possibly — Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Leopards are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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