Lesotho vs Nigeria Football Stats

📍 CAF World Cup Qualifiers, World
🕒 Friday 10th October, 17:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Lesotho sit 5th in the table after 7 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Nigeria are 3rd after 6 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Lesotho have won 2/4 home games (50%) this season; Nigeria have won 3/7 on the road (43%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Lesotho have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 75% of their home fixtures (3/4). Nigeria are lower on the road (43%, 3/7), averaging 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Lesotho at 50% in home games (2/4), Nigeria at 43% away (3/7). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Lesotho see 9+ corners in 25% of home games, Nigeria in 0% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Lesotho see 2+ goals in 75% of home games, Nigeria in 71.43% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full CAF World Cup Qualifiers table for the 2026 season, with Lesotho (5th) and Nigeria (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

CAF World Cup Qualifiers 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nigeria A 6 4 2 0 13:4 +9 14
2 Congo DR 6 4 1 1 10:5 +5 13
3 Tunisia 4 4 0 0 13:0 +13 12
4 Senegal 4 4 0 0 14:2 +12 12
5 Algeria 4 3 1 0 8:2 +6 10
6 Cape Verde Islands 4 3 1 0 9:3 +6 10
7 Gabon 5 3 1 1 11:7 +4 10
8 Côte d'Ivoire 4 3 1 0 11:0 +11 10
9 Ghana 4 3 1 0 8:1 +7 10
10 Egypt 4 3 1 0 6:0 +6 10
11 Burkina Faso 4 3 1 0 10:1 +9 10
12 Uganda 4 3 0 1 8:2 +6 9
13 Gambia 4 3 0 1 15:5 +10 9
14 Morocco 3 3 0 0 8:0 +8 9
15 Niger 4 3 0 1 5:6 -1 9
16 Madagascar 4 3 0 1 8:6 +2 9
17 Mali 4 3 0 1 9:2 +7 9
18 Benin 4 3 0 1 6:4 +2 9
19 Guinea 4 2 2 0 7:3 +4 8
20 Libya 4 2 2 0 6:3 +3 8
21 South Africa 4 2 2 0 7:1 +6 8
22 Cameroon 5 2 1 2 5:2 +3 7
23 Sierra Leone 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
24 Mozambique 4 2 0 2 4:6 -2 6
25 Kenya 4 2 0 2 7:6 +1 6
26 Liberia 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
27 Angola 4 1 2 1 5:4 +1 5
28 Mauritania 4 1 2 1 2:4 -2 5
29 Equatorial Guinea 3 1 1 1 4:4 0 4
30 Malawi 3 1 1 1 4:4 0 4
31 Togo 4 1 1 2 1:3 -2 4
32 Guinea-Bissau 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
33 Namibia 4 1 0 3 5:8 -3 3
34 São Tomé and Príncipe 4 1 0 3 3:12 -9 3
35 Zambia 3 1 0 2 1:3 -2 3
36 Central African Republic 4 1 0 3 3:11 -8 3
37 Comoros 4 1 0 3 3:6 -3 3
38 Rwanda 4 1 0 3 1:5 -4 3
39 Lesotho H 4 1 0 3 2:9 -7 3
40 Ethiopia 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
41 South Sudan 4 0 2 2 1:9 -8 2
42 Botswana 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
43 Eswatini 4 0 1 3 2:10 -8 1
44 Mauritius 4 0 1 3 1:7 -6 1
45 Congo 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
46 Tanzania 3 0 1 2 1:3 -2 1
47 Chad 4 0 1 3 4:9 -5 1
48 Sudan 4 0 1 3 0:4 -4 1
49 Zimbabwe 4 0 1 3 0:3 -3 1
50 Somalia 4 0 0 4 0:9 -9 0
51 Burundi 4 0 0 4 0:6 -6 0
52 Seychelles 4 0 0 4 0:23 -23 0
53 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
54 Djibouti 4 0 0 4 1:13 -12 0

Team Form

Lesotho have won 50% of home games this season, Nigeria 42.86% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Won 2 (50%) 3 (42.86%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (28.57%)
Lost 2 (50%) 2 (28.57%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lesotho have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Nigeria in 42.86% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (50%) 3 (42.86%)

Match Goals

Lesotho frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 75%), while Nigeria are lower on the road (42.86%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 0.5 Goals 4 (100%) 6 (85.71%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (75%) 5 (71.43%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (75%) 3 (42.86%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (28.57%)

Under Goals

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Under 0.5 Goals 6 (0%) 4 (14.29%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (25%) 5 (28.57%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (25%) 7 (57.14%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (71.43%)

Team Goals

Lesotho have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Nigeria in 14.29% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 3 (75%) 4 (57.14%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (25%) 3 (42.86%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (75%) 5 (71.43%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (50%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (25%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (14.29%)

Goal Totals

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Total Goals Scored 4 (1 avg) 8 (1.14 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (1.5 avg) 8 (1.14 avg)

Match Corners

Lesotho (25% Over 8.5 at home) and Nigeria (14.29% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (25%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (25%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (25%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lesotho have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 25% of home matches.

Nigeria have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 14.29% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (25%) 2 (28.57%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (25%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (14.29%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lesotho (Home Form) Nigeria (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 7
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (75%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lesotho and Nigeria. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16th Nov, 2023
Nigeria
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lesotho
30th Mar, 2021
Nigeria
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lesotho
17th Nov, 2019
Lesotho
2 – 4 HT: 1-2
Nigeria

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lesotho vs Nigeria across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lesotho 55
Draw 16.5
Nigeria 1.04

Half Time Result

Lesotho 12.51
Draw 3.87
Nigeria 1.28

Double Chance

Lesotho or Draw 9.1
Lesotho or Nigeria 1.03
Draw or Nigeria 1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 3
No 1.45

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.04
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.5 1.72
Under 1.5 7
Under 2.5 3.8
Under 3.5 2.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.68

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.7
Over 9.5 2.14
Over 10.5 2.97
Over 11.5 3.27

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 2.6
Over 1.5 8.3

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Lesotho vs Nigeria Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lesotho vs Nigeria?

Over 1.5 Goals — Lesotho see 2+ goals in 75% of home games, Nigeria in 71.43% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lesotho or Nigeria?

Lesotho have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Nigeria on the road (42.86% wins) in CAF World Cup Qualifiers. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lesotho and Nigeria?

Mixed — Lesotho have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Nigeria in 42.86% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this CAF World Cup Qualifiers fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lesotho and Nigeria?

Possibly — Lesotho frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 75%), while Nigeria are lower on the road (42.86%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lesotho or Nigeria?

Nigeria have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 14.29% of away games compared to Lesotho's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lesotho and Nigeria?

Unlikely — Lesotho (25% Over 8.5 at home) and Nigeria (14.29% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in CAF World Cup Qualifiers.

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