Lexington vs Louisville City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Saturday 7th March, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Louisville City have been outstanding away from home this season, winning 8/10 away games (80%). Lexington have struggled at home, winning only 3/10 (30%). The visitors look the stronger side — see our Away Win stats.

Lexington consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Louisville City are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Lexington often see both teams score at home (60%), while Louisville City are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Louisville City regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2026 season, with Lexington (22th) and Louisville City (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Orange County 7 4 2 1 7:3 +4 14
2 Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 4 2 0 11:4 +7 14
3 El Paso Locomotive 5 4 1 0 14:5 +9 13
4 Louisville City A 6 4 1 1 14:9 +5 13
5 San Antonio 7 3 3 1 5:3 +2 12
6 Charleston Battery 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
7 Detroit City 5 3 1 1 6:2 +4 10
8 Hartford Athletic 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
9 Sacramento Republic 6 2 3 1 7:4 +3 9
10 Miami FC II 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
11 Oakland Roots 5 2 2 1 7:6 +1 8
12 Indy Eleven 5 2 2 1 8:6 +2 8
13 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
14 New Mexico United 5 2 0 3 5:8 -3 6
15 Phoenix Rising 6 1 3 2 8:8 0 6
16 Brooklyn FC 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
17 Las Vegas Lights 6 1 2 3 9:11 -2 5
18 Colorado Springs 5 1 2 2 8:9 -1 5
19 Tulsa Roughnecks 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
20 Lexington H 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
21 Birmingham Legion 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
22 Rhode Island 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
23 Loudoun United 5 0 3 2 8:11 -3 3
24 Monterey Bay 6 0 2 4 2:9 -7 2
25 Sporting JAX 6 0 1 5 5:13 -8 1

Team Form

Louisville City have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 80% of away games compared to Lexington's 30% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Louisville City are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Louisville City are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lexington have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Louisville City in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Louisville City in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lexington have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Louisville City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Louisville City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lexington and Louisville City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Jul 2025
Lexington
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Louisville City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 May 2025
Louisville City
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lexington
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Feb 2025
Louisville City
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Lexington
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2023
Louisville City
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lexington
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lexington vs Louisville City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lexington 3.05
Draw 3.76
Louisville City 2.19

Half Time Result

Lexington 3.88
Draw 2.17
Louisville City 2.96

Double Chance

Lexington or Draw 1.68
Lexington or Louisville City 1.23
Draw or Louisville City 1.39

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.81
No 1.88

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 3.5 3.74
Under 1.5 3.21
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 2.24
Over 11.5 2.37

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.9

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.35

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Lexington vs Louisville City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Louisville City?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Lexington or Louisville City?

Louisville City arrive in the better form — winning 80% of away games in USL Championship this season compared to Lexington's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Lexington and Louisville City?

Mixed — Lexington have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Louisville City in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lexington and Louisville City?

Possibly — Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Louisville City are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lexington or Louisville City?

Louisville City have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Lexington's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lexington and Louisville City?

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Louisville City in 60% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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