Lexington vs Monterey Bay — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Lexington (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Monterey Bay on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Lexington consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Monterey Bay are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Lexington and Monterey Bay frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Lexington have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Monterey Bay in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2026 season, with Lexington (th) and Monterey Bay (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 7 5 1 1 15:9 +6 16
2 Orange County 8 4 3 1 7:3 +4 15
3 San Antonio 8 4 3 1 8:5 +3 15
4 Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 4 2 0 11:4 +7 14
5 El Paso Locomotive 7 4 1 2 17:12 +5 13
6 Oakland Roots 7 3 3 1 12:9 +3 12
7 Charleston Battery 7 3 1 3 8:12 -4 10
8 Hartford Athletic 7 2 4 1 7:7 0 10
9 Sacramento Republic 7 2 4 1 8:5 +3 10
10 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 7 3 1 3 10:12 -2 10
11 Detroit City 6 3 1 2 7:4 +3 10
12 Tulsa Roughnecks 7 2 3 2 9:8 +1 9
13 Phoenix Rising 7 2 3 2 11:8 +3 9
14 Miami FC II 7 2 3 2 7:10 -3 9
15 Indy Eleven 6 2 3 1 10:8 +2 9
16 Colorado Springs 6 2 2 2 12:10 +2 8
17 Rhode Island 6 2 2 2 11:8 +3 8
18 Brooklyn FC 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
19 New Mexico United 5 2 0 3 5:8 -3 6
20 Lexington H 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
21 Birmingham Legion 6 1 3 2 7:8 -1 6
22 Las Vegas Lights 7 1 2 4 11:15 -4 5
23 Loudoun United 6 0 4 2 8:11 -3 4
24 Monterey Bay A 7 0 2 5 3:13 -10 2
25 Sporting JAX 7 0 1 6 5:14 -9 1

Team Form

Monterey Bay have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Lexington have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Monterey Bay in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Monterey Bay are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Lexington have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Monterey Bay in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lexington (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Monterey Bay (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Lexington have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Monterey Bay have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Monterey Bay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Finglas United vs UCD II 11:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Finglas United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Deutschlandsberger SC vs Voitsberg 15:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Deutschlandsberger SC have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Voitsberg have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    87% combined
  • Tampines Rovers vs Lion City Sailors FC 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Lion City Sailors FC have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    87% combined
  • Citizen AA vs Shatin 08:30 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Citizen AA have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Shatin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    87% combined

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Monterey Bay?

Over 2.5 Goals — Lexington have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Monterey Bay in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lexington or Monterey Bay?

Lexington have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Monterey Bay on the road (0% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lexington and Monterey Bay?

Mixed — Lexington have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Monterey Bay in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lexington and Monterey Bay?

Possibly — Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Monterey Bay are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lexington or Monterey Bay?

Lexington have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Monterey Bay's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lexington and Monterey Bay?

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Monterey Bay in 50% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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