Lexington vs Sacramento Republic — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Friday 17th October, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Lexington (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Sacramento Republic on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Lexington consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Lexington often see both teams score at home (60%), while Sacramento Republic are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Sacramento Republic regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Lexington see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Lexington (8th) and Sacramento Republic (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 26 19 5 2 48:17 +31 62
2 Tulsa Roughnecks 30 17 10 3 54:27 +27 61
3 Charleston Battery 26 16 6 4 54:26 +28 54
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 12 10 8 29:23 +6 46
5 Hartford Athletic 27 13 6 8 47:29 +18 45
6 Sacramento Republic A 26 12 8 6 38:20 +18 44
7 New Mexico United 29 12 6 11 42:44 -2 42
8 North Carolina FC 26 12 4 10 34:34 0 40
9 Phoenix Rising 26 9 11 6 38:35 +3 38
10 Rhode Island 30 10 8 12 26:25 +1 38
11 Orange County 27 8 9 10 37:38 -1 33
12 El Paso Locomotive 25 8 9 8 36:34 +2 33
13 Colorado Springs 26 9 5 12 26:38 -12 32
14 Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 8 7 10 39:43 -4 31
15 Lexington H 24 8 6 10 23:34 -11 30
16 Indy Eleven 26 9 3 14 36:45 -9 30
17 Detroit City 26 7 9 10 25:28 -3 30
18 San Antonio 25 7 7 11 29:33 -4 28
19 Oakland Roots 24 7 7 10 35:39 -4 28
20 Miami FC II 25 7 6 12 25:35 -10 27
21 Loudoun United 25 7 6 12 34:44 -10 27
22 Birmingham Legion 25 4 10 11 29:41 -12 22
23 Las Vegas Lights 25 4 7 14 19:47 -28 19
24 Monterey Bay 24 3 7 14 16:40 -24 16

Team Form

Lexington have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Sacramento Republic have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Sacramento Republic are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lexington have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lexington have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lexington and Sacramento Republic. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th Jul, 2025
Sacramento Republic
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lexington
Corners 10–2 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lexington 2.45
Draw 3.2
Sacramento Republic 2.8

Half Time Result

Lexington 3.1
Draw 2
Sacramento Republic 3.4

Double Chance

Lexington or Draw 1.4
Lexington or Sacramento Republic 1.36
Draw or Sacramento Republic 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.89

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 1.5 3.02
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31
Over 9.5 1.63
Over 10.5 2.64
Over 11.5 2.8

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.71

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Over 1.5 Goals — Lexington see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lexington or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Lexington at home (30% wins) in USL Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Mixed — Lexington have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Possibly — Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lexington or Sacramento Republic?

Lexington have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Sacramento Republic's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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