Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Football Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Friday 17th October, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Lexington sit 8th in the table after 25 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Sacramento Republic are 2nd after 24 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Lexington have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Sacramento Republic have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Lexington have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

Lexington frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Lexington see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Lexington see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Lexington (8th) and Sacramento Republic (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 31 22 7 2 56:20 +36 73
2 Tulsa Roughnecks 35 20 10 5 58:30 +28 70
3 Charleston Battery 31 19 6 6 62:32 +30 63
4 New Mexico United 34 16 6 12 49:48 +1 54
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35 14 11 10 34:28 +6 53
6 Sacramento Republic A 31 13 10 8 44:27 +17 49
7 North Carolina FC 32 14 6 12 41:41 0 48
8 Hartford Athletic 31 13 6 12 48:36 +12 45
9 Phoenix Rising 32 10 13 9 49:49 0 43
10 Loudoun United 31 12 6 13 45:49 -4 42
11 Rhode Island 34 11 9 14 31:31 0 42
12 El Paso Locomotive 31 10 11 10 47:46 +1 41
13 Detroit City 32 10 11 11 34:35 -1 41
14 Orange County 32 10 10 12 45:47 -2 40
15 San Antonio 31 11 7 13 39:40 -1 40
16 Colorado Springs 31 10 7 14 35:48 -13 37
17 Lexington H 30 9 9 12 31:42 -11 36
18 Indy Eleven 30 10 5 15 44:52 -8 35
19 Tampa Bay Rowdies 30 9 7 14 43:50 -7 34
20 Oakland Roots 30 8 8 14 42:52 -10 32
21 Miami FC II 30 8 6 16 29:44 -15 30
22 Monterey Bay 30 7 8 15 27:45 -18 29
23 Las Vegas Lights 30 6 9 15 23:50 -27 27
24 Birmingham Legion 30 5 12 13 36:50 -14 27

Team Form

Lexington have won 40% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic 20% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Sacramento Republic are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lexington have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lexington have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lexington (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lexington and Sacramento Republic. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th Jul, 2025
Sacramento Republic
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lexington
Corners 10–2 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lexington 2.45
Draw 3.2
Sacramento Republic 2.8

Half Time Result

Lexington 3.1
Draw 2
Sacramento Republic 3.4

Double Chance

Lexington or Draw 1.4
Lexington or Sacramento Republic 1.36
Draw or Sacramento Republic 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.89

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 1.5 3.02
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31
Over 9.5 1.63
Over 10.5 2.64
Over 11.5 2.8

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.71

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Over 1.5 Goals — Lexington see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lexington or Sacramento Republic?

Lexington have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Sacramento Republic on the road (20% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Mixed — Lexington have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Possibly — Lexington frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Sacramento Republic are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lexington or Sacramento Republic?

Lexington have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Sacramento Republic's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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