Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Wednesday 17th September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Liverpool have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlético Madrid have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both Liverpool and Atlético Madrid have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Liverpool's home games and 70% of Atlético Madrid's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Liverpool often see both teams score at home (60%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Liverpool (18th) and Atlético Madrid (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 10 1 0 27:5 +22 31
2 FC Bayern München 11 10 0 1 34:11 +23 30
3 Paris Saint Germain 13 8 3 2 36:17 +19 27
4 Real Madrid 13 9 0 4 30:16 +14 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
7 Atlético Madrid A 13 7 2 4 33:24 +9 23
8 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
9 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
10 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
11 Liverpool H 11 7 0 4 24:11 +13 21
12 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
13 FC Barcelona 11 6 2 3 30:19 +11 20
14 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
15 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
16 Sporting CP 11 6 1 4 22:15 +7 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Liverpool have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Madrid's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Liverpool's home games and 70% of Atlético Madrid's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 31 (3.1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Liverpool (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Liverpool and Atlético Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

3rd Nov, 2021
Liverpool
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners 5–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2021
Atlético Madrid
2 – 3 HT: 2-2
Liverpool
Corners 2–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Mar, 2020
Liverpool
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners 16–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Feb, 2020
Atlético Madrid
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners 2–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Aug, 2017
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners 4–3 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Apr, 2010
Liverpool
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Apr, 2010
Atlético Madrid
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Nov, 2008
Liverpool
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Oct, 2008
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Liverpool 1.5
Draw 4.71
Atlético Madrid 6.6

Half Time Result

Liverpool 1.96
Draw 2.47
Atlético Madrid 6.19

Double Chance

Liverpool or Draw 1.12
Liverpool or Atlético Madrid 1.2
Draw or Atlético Madrid 2.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.4
Under 1.5 4.7
Under 2.5 2.4
Under 3.5 1.52

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.56
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 2.13

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.5
Over 2.5 2.55

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.76
Over 2.5 10.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 2.5 Goals — Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Liverpool or Atlético Madrid?

Liverpool hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Champions League this season, while Atlético Madrid have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Madrid?

Mixed — Liverpool have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Champions League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Madrid?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Liverpool's home games and 70% of Atlético Madrid's away games in Champions League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Liverpool or Atlético Madrid?

Liverpool have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Atlético Madrid's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Madrid?

Yes — both Liverpool (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Champions League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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