Liverpool vs Burnley Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 17th January, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Liverpool sit 4th in the table after 18 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Burnley are 19th after 18 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. Liverpool have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Burnley have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Liverpool in 100% of home games, Burnley in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Liverpool in 60% of home games (6/10), Burnley in 60% away (6/10). Liverpool have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Burnley in 60% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Liverpool see 8+ in 80% of home games, Burnley in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Liverpool see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Burnley in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Liverpool (4th) and Burnley (19th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool H 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley A 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Burnley have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Liverpool have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Burnley in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Liverpool 100% at home, Burnley 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Liverpool regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Liverpool and Burnley. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Sep 2025
Burnley
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
10 Feb 2024
Liverpool
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Burnley
26 Dec 2023
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
13 Feb 2022
Burnley
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
21 Aug 2021
Liverpool
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
19 May 2021
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
21 Jan 2021
Liverpool
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
11 Jul 2020
Liverpool
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
31 Aug 2019
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Liverpool
10 Mar 2019
Liverpool
4 – 2 HT: 2-1
Burnley

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Liverpool vs Burnley across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Liverpool 1.23
Draw 6.65
Burnley 14.5

Half Time Result

Liverpool 1.68
Draw 2.89
Burnley 9.93

Double Chance

Liverpool or Draw 1.05
Liverpool or Burnley 1.14
Draw or Burnley 4.49

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.16
No 1.83

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.6
Over 3.5 2.54
Under 1.5 6
Under 2.5 2.64
Under 3.5 1.64

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 2.11

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.35

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 2.05
Over 1.5 5.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Burnley?

Over 1.5 Goals — Liverpool see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Burnley in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Liverpool or Burnley?

Liverpool have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Burnley on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Liverpool and Burnley?

Mixed — Liverpool have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Liverpool and Burnley?

Uncertain — Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Liverpool or Burnley?

Liverpool have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Burnley's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Liverpool and Burnley?

Possibly — Liverpool regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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