Liverpool vs PSV | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Champions League)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Liverpool sit 13th in the table, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. PSV are 15th, averaging 1.9 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Liverpool have won 50% of home games, PSV 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

PSV have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). Liverpool are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 2.1 scored and 1 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Liverpool in 60% of home games (6/10), PSV in 80% away (8/10). Liverpool have scored in 90% of home fixtures; PSV in 90% of away games.

PSV are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Liverpool are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Liverpool see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, PSV in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Liverpool (13th) and PSV (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	11	3	0	29:6	+23	36
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	10	4	2	44:22	+22	34
3	FC Bayern München	14	11	1	2	43:20	+23	34
4	Real Madrid	14	9	0	5	33:20	+13	27
5	Qarabağ	16	8	1	7	31:35	-4	25
6	Atlético Madrid	16	7	3	6	35:28	+7	24
7	FC Barcelona	12	7	2	3	32:20	+12	23
8	Club Brugge	14	7	2	5	32:27	+5	23
9	Pafos FC	14	6	5	3	16:14	+2	23
10	FC København	14	6	4	4	23:22	+1	22
11	Newcastle United	12	6	3	3	29:18	+11	21
12	Liverpool H	12	7	0	5	24:13	+11	21
13	Bodø / Glimt	14	6	3	5	28:24	+4	21
14	Sporting CP	12	6	2	4	22:15	+7	20
15	Tottenham Hotspur	10	6	2	2	22:14	+8	20
16	Benfica	14	6	1	7	16:15	+1	19
17	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	12	4	5	3	16:17	-1	17
18	Galatasaray	12	5	1	6	17:20	-3	16
19	Manchester City	10	5	1	4	16:14	+2	16
20	Juventus	10	4	4	2	19:17	+2	16
21	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	19:18	+1	16
22	Atalanta	12	5	1	6	16:23	-7	16
23	Inter	10	5	0	5	17:12	+5	15
24	Borussia Dortmund	10	4	2	4	22:21	+1	14
25	Ferencvárosi	6	4	1	1	13:9	+4	13
26	Kairat	16	3	4	9	14:26	-12	13
27	Malmö FF	6	4	1	1	11:8	+3	13
28	Olympiacos F.C.	10	3	3	4	10:16	-6	12
29	Monaco	10	2	5	3	12:19	-7	11
30	Crvena Zvezda	6	3	2	1	12:6	+6	11
31	Skendija 79	6	3	1	2	6:8	-2	10
32	Ludogorets	6	2	3	1	6:6	0	9
33	Olympique Marseille	8	3	0	5	11:14	-3	9
34	Union Saint-Gilloise	8	3	0	5	8:17	-9	9
35	PSV A	8	2	2	4	16:16	0	8
36	Athletic Club	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
37	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
38	Rangers	6	2	1	3	8:12	-4	7
39	KuPS	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
40	Slovan Bratislava	4	2	1	1	7:3	+4	7
41	Zrinjski	4	2	1	1	6:7	-1	7
42	Lech Poznań	4	2	1	1	10:5	+5	7
43	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8:21	-13	6
44	Dynamo Kyiv	4	2	0	2	6:3	+3	6
45	Viktoria Plzeň	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
46	Drita	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
47	Rīgas FS	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
48	Lincoln Red Imps	4	2	0	2	5:8	-3	6
49	Salzburg	4	1	1	2	7:6	+1	4
50	Fenerbahçe	4	1	1	2	6:5	+1	4
51	Shelbourne	4	1	1	2	2:5	-3	4
52	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10:21	-11	4
53	Noah	4	1	1	2	7:8	-1	4
54	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	4:6	-2	3
55	Hamrun Spartans	4	1	0	3	2:8	-6	3
56	Servette	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
57	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
58	FCSB	4	1	0	3	5:6	-1	3
59	Žalgiris	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
60	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
61	Breidablik	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
62	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2	1	0	1	1:5	-4	3
63	Slavia Praha	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
64	Celtic	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
65	Brann	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
66	Basel	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
67	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5:18	-13	1
68	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
69	Dinamo Minsk	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
70	Rijeka	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
71	Panathinaikos	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
72	Olimpija	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
73	Budućnost	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
74	The New Saints	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
75	Linfield	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
76	Milsami	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
77	Nice	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0
78	FC Iberia 1999	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0
79	Virtus	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0
80	Differdange 03	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
81	Levadia	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
82	Víkingur	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0

Team Form

Liverpool (50% home wins) and PSV (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	5 (50%)	5 (50%)
Drawn	3 (30%)	1 (10%)
Lost	2 (20%)	4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, PSV in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	8 (80%)

Match Goals

PSV regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Liverpool are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	10 (100%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals	10 (100%)	10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals	3 (30%)	5 (50%)

Under Goals

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals	5 (50%)	1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals	7 (70%)	5 (50%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, PSV in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	3 (30%)	5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Goal Totals

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	21 (2.1 avg)	19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	10 (1 avg)	17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Liverpool (70% Over 8.5 at home) and PSV (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	8 (80%)	8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners	7 (70%)	7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners	6 (60%)	7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners	5 (50%)	5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners	4 (40%)	3 (30%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

PSV have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	9 (90%)	7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	5 (50%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

	Liverpool (Home Form)	PSV (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Liverpool and PSV. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Jan, 2025

PSV

3 – 2 HT: 3-2

Liverpool

Corners 8–2 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

9th Dec, 2008

PSV

1 – 3 HT: 1-1

Liverpool