Ligue 1 · France 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 18:00 GMT

Lorient vs Nantes Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Lorient Home · 9th 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Nantes Away · 16th 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Lorient 51% Draw 25% Nantes 23%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Lorient vs Nantes Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
51% Lorient win 25% Draw 23% Nantes win 52% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

Lorient sit 9th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Nantes are 16th after 17 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Lorient have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Nantes have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Lorient have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Nantes in 50% away (5/10). Lorient average 1.5 scored and 1 conceded at home, Nantes 1 and 1.5 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Lorient at 50% in home games (5/10), Nantes at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Lorient see 8+ in 70% of home games, Nantes in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Lorient (9th) and Nantes (16th) sit in the Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Lorient H 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
17 Nantes A 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
View the full Ligue 1 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 74:29 +45 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 +31 70
3 LOSC Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 +15 61
4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 18 6 10 53:40 +13 60
5 Olympique Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 +18 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 +9 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 +6 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 +11 53
9 Lorient H 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47:46 +1 44
11 Paris 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
13 Angers SCO 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
17 Nantes A 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17

Team Form

Nantes have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Lorient have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lorient have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Nantes in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Lorient have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Nantes in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Lorient have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Nantes in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Lorient 1.5 scored · 1 conceded per home game Nantes 1 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Lorient 15 scored / 10 conceded at home · Nantes 10 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Lorient (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Nantes (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Lorient have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Nantes have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Lorient — last 10 home A Nantes — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lorient and Nantes. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Nov 2025
Nantes
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Aug 2024
Nantes
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Feb 2024
Lorient
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nantes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Sep 2023
Nantes
5 – 3 HT: 1-1
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
02 Aug 2023
Lorient
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nantes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Feb 2023
Nantes
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Dec 2022
Lorient
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Nantes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2022
Lorient
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nantes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2022
Nantes
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jan 2022
Nantes
4 – 2 HT: 1-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lorient vs Nantes across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Lorient 1.97 Model: 51%
Draw 3.55 Model: 25%
Nantes 4.6 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.99 Model: 52%
No 2 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.4 Model: 74%
Value Over 2.5 2.2 Model: 50%
Value Over 3.5 4.1 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.45 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 1.82 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.31 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.46 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 3.02

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.52 Model: 54%
Over 9.5 1.59 Model: 42%
Over 10.5 2.58 Model: 31%
Over 11.5 2.74 Model: 23%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Lorient 2.55 Model: 42%
Draw 2.25 Model: 37%
Nantes 4.75 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Lorient or Draw 1.24 Model: 77%
Lorient or Nantes 1.33 Model: 75%
Draw or Nantes 1.96 Model: 49%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 2.04 Model: 47%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 1.52 Model: 59%
Over 1.5 3.74 Model: 25%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Lorient vs Nantes Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Nantes?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Lorient or Nantes?

Lorient have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Nantes on the road (20% wins) in Ligue 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lorient and Nantes?

Mixed — Lorient have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Nantes in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lorient and Nantes?

Uncertain — Lorient have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Nantes in 50% of away games in Ligue 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lorient or Nantes?

Nantes have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Lorient's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lorient and Nantes?

Lorient have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Nantes in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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