Lorient vs Olympique Marseille — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Lorient Over 1.5 Team Goals

Lorient hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Olympique Marseille are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Olympique Marseille have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Lorient are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Lorient often see both teams score at home (60%), while Olympique Marseille are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Lorient Over 1.5 Team Goals — they've scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games, while Olympique Marseille have conceded 2+ in 70% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lorient (th) and Olympique Marseille (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54:27 +27 59
3 LOSC Lille 29 16 5 8 49:34 +15 53
4 Olympique Marseille A 29 16 4 9 58:38 +20 52
5 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49:41 +8 50
6 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50:43 +7 49
7 Olympique Lyonnais 28 14 6 8 41:29 +12 48
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46:34 +12 43
9 Lorient H 28 9 11 8 38:42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 29 10 7 12 39:39 0 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37:43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37:45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 29 9 6 14 25:39 -14 33
14 Le Havre 29 6 11 12 24:37 -13 29
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34:56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23:37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24:45 -21 19
18 Metz 29 3 6 20 26:63 -37 15

Team Form

Lorient hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Olympique Marseille have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lorient frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Olympique Marseille are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lorient are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Lorient have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Olympique Marseille in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 26 (2.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lorient (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Olympique Marseille (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lorient have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Lorient (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lorient vs Olympique Marseille across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lorient 3.8
Draw 3.8
Olympique Marseille 1.36

Half Time Result

Lorient 4
Draw 2.3
Olympique Marseille 2.5

Double Chance

Lorient or Draw 1.9
Lorient or Olympique Marseille 1.28
Draw or Olympique Marseille 1.25

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67
No 2.36

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 3.5 2.58
Under 1.5 2.14
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Lorient vs Olympique Marseille Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Olympique Marseille?

Lorient Over 1.5 Goals — they've scored 2+ in 60% of home games, while Olympique Marseille have conceded 2+ in 70% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Which team is likely to win, Lorient or Olympique Marseille?

Lorient hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Olympique Marseille have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lorient and Olympique Marseille?

Mixed — Lorient have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lorient and Olympique Marseille?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lorient are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lorient or Olympique Marseille?

Olympique Marseille have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Lorient's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lorient and Olympique Marseille?

Lorient have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Strasbourg vs Rennes

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Nantes vs Brest

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Metz vs Paris

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 16:15 BST

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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