Lorient vs Paris — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 16:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Lorient hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Paris are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Lorient frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Paris are more variable on the road (60%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Lorient often see both teams score at home (60%), while Paris are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Lorient have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Paris in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lorient (10th) and Paris (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 26 19 3 4 58:22 +36 60
2 Lens 27 19 2 6 54:24 +30 59
3 Olympique Marseille 27 15 4 8 54:35 +19 49
4 Olympique Lyonnais 27 14 5 8 41:29 +12 47
5 LOSC Lille 27 14 5 8 42:34 +8 47
6 Monaco 27 14 4 9 47:38 +9 46
7 Rennes 27 12 8 7 43:37 +6 44
8 Strasbourg 27 11 7 9 43:33 +10 40
9 Toulouse 27 10 7 10 38:32 +6 37
10 Lorient H 27 9 10 8 37:41 -4 37
11 Brest 27 10 6 11 34:39 -5 36
12 Angers SCO 27 9 5 13 24:37 -13 32
13 Paris A 27 7 10 10 32:43 -11 31
14 Le Havre 27 6 9 12 22:35 -13 27
15 Nice 27 7 6 14 32:52 -20 27
16 Auxerre 27 5 7 15 22:36 -14 22
17 Nantes 26 4 5 17 24:45 -21 17
18 Metz 27 3 5 19 25:60 -35 14

Team Form

Lorient hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Paris have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lorient frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Paris are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lorient have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Paris in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Lorient have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Paris in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Paris frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Lorient are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lorient have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Paris have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 70% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lorient (Home Form) Paris (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lorient and Paris. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Feb 2026
Lorient
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2025
Paris
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2025
Paris
3 – 2 HT: 3-1
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2024
Lorient
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2021
Lorient
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jul 2019
Lorient
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Apr 2019
Paris
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Nov 2018
Lorient
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2018
Lorient
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2017
Paris
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Lorient
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lorient vs Paris across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lorient 2.32
Draw 3.45
Paris 3.3

Half Time Result

Lorient 2.85
Draw 2.07
Paris 3.75

Double Chance

Lorient or Draw 1.3
Lorient or Paris 1.32
Draw or Paris 1.58

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.82
No 2.02

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.16
Over 3.5 4.03
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.8
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.62
Over 10.5 2.19
Over 11.5 2.45

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.28

Paris Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.19

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Lorient vs Paris Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Paris?

Under 2.5 Goals — Lorient have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Paris in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Lorient or Paris?

Lorient hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Paris have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lorient and Paris?

Mixed — Lorient have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Paris in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lorient and Paris?

Uncertain — Lorient have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Paris in 30% of away games in Ligue 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lorient or Paris?

Paris have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Lorient's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lorient and Paris?

Possibly — Paris frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Lorient are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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