Louisville City vs Indy Eleven — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Louisville City to Win

Louisville City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Indy Eleven have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Louisville City 40% Over 2.5 at home, Indy Eleven 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Louisville City 40% at home, Indy Eleven 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Louisville City regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while Indy Eleven are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Louisville City to Win — Louisville City have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Indy Eleven have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Louisville City (1st) and Indy Eleven (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City H 26 19 5 2 48:17 +31 62
2 Tulsa Roughnecks 30 17 10 3 54:27 +27 61
3 Charleston Battery 26 16 6 4 54:26 +28 54
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 12 10 8 29:23 +6 46
5 Hartford Athletic 27 13 6 8 47:29 +18 45
6 Sacramento Republic 26 12 8 6 38:20 +18 44
7 New Mexico United 29 12 6 11 42:44 -2 42
8 North Carolina FC 26 12 4 10 34:34 0 40
9 Phoenix Rising 26 9 11 6 38:35 +3 38
10 Rhode Island 30 10 8 12 26:25 +1 38
11 Orange County 27 8 9 10 37:38 -1 33
12 El Paso Locomotive 25 8 9 8 36:34 +2 33
13 Colorado Springs 26 9 5 12 26:38 -12 32
14 Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 8 7 10 39:43 -4 31
15 Lexington 24 8 6 10 23:34 -11 30
16 Indy Eleven A 26 9 3 14 36:45 -9 30
17 Detroit City 26 7 9 10 25:28 -3 30
18 San Antonio 25 7 7 11 29:33 -4 28
19 Oakland Roots 24 7 7 10 35:39 -4 28
20 Miami FC II 25 7 6 12 25:35 -10 27
21 Loudoun United 25 7 6 12 34:44 -10 27
22 Birmingham Legion 25 4 10 11 29:41 -12 22
23 Las Vegas Lights 25 4 7 14 19:47 -28 19
24 Monterey Bay 24 3 7 14 16:40 -24 16

Team Form

Louisville City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Indy Eleven's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Louisville City have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Indy Eleven in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Indy Eleven in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Louisville City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Indy Eleven in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Louisville City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Indy Eleven (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Louisville City win 7+ corners in 70% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Indy Eleven have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Louisville City (Home Form) Indy Eleven (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Louisville City and Indy Eleven. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Aug, 2025
Indy Eleven
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Louisville City
Corners 5–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Oct, 2024
Indy Eleven
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Louisville City
Corners 2–10 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Apr, 2024
Louisville City
5 – 3 HT: 2-1
Indy Eleven
Corners 6–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jul, 2023
Louisville City
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Indy Eleven
Corners 8–7 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th May, 2023
Indy Eleven
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Louisville City
Corners 5–3 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Aug, 2022
Indy Eleven
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Louisville City
Corners 1–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Mar, 2022
Louisville City
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Indy Eleven
Corners 9–1 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Oct, 2021
Indy Eleven
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Louisville City
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2021
Indy Eleven
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Louisville City
Corners 2–4 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jun, 2021
Louisville City
3 – 3 HT: 2-3
Indy Eleven
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Louisville City 1.47
Draw 5
Indy Eleven 6.55

Half Time Result

Louisville City 1.92
Draw 2.62
Indy Eleven 6.29

Double Chance

Louisville City or Draw 1.07
Louisville City or Indy Eleven 1.18
Draw or Indy Eleven 2.92

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.78
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 3.5 2.61
Under 1.5 4.78
Under 2.5 2.4
Under 3.5 1.58

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.39

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.34
Over 10.5 1.97
Over 11.5 2.08

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.43

Indy Eleven Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.75
Over 2.5 9.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?

Louisville City to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while Indy Eleven have lost 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Louisville City or Indy Eleven?

Louisville City hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in USL Championship this season, while Indy Eleven have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Louisville City and Indy Eleven?

Mixed — Louisville City have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Indy Eleven in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Louisville City and Indy Eleven?

Uncertain — Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Indy Eleven in 50% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Louisville City or Indy Eleven?

Louisville City have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Indy Eleven's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Louisville City and Indy Eleven?

Yes — both Louisville City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Indy Eleven (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in USL Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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