Lucena vs Castilleja Football Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 10, Spain
🕒 Sunday 8th March, 17:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Lucena to Win

Lucena sit 1st in the table after 21 games, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Castilleja are 17th after 21 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2 conceded on the road. The home record backs Lucena strongly — they've won 10/10 home games (100%), while Castilleja have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Lucena have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Castilleja are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 2 conceded away from home.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Lucena have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Castilleja in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Lucena see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Castilleja in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Lucena to Win — Lucena have won 10/10 home games this season (100%), while Castilleja have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 10 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lucena (1st) and Castilleja (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 10 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lucena H 34 22 7 5 69:25 +44 73
2 Dos Hermanas 1971 34 18 6 10 68:37 +31 60
3 Club Atlético Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 +7 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 12 8 43:34 +9 54
5 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 +13 52
6 Cadiz II 34 14 10 10 50:38 +12 52
7 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 -1 52
8 Ceuta II 34 12 12 10 36:38 -2 48
9 Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 -7 44
10 Córdoba II 34 12 8 14 44:44 0 44
11 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 0 43
12 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 37:43 -6 43
13 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 -6 43
14 Recreativo Huelva II 34 10 10 14 36:43 -7 40
15 Sevilla III 34 10 9 15 34:40 -6 39
16 Tomares 34 10 9 15 34:46 -12 39
17 Castilleja A 34 6 9 19 28:62 -34 27
18 Coria CF 34 4 9 21 24:59 -35 21

Team Form

Lucena have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 100% of their home matches compared to Castilleja's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 10 (100%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lucena (30% BTTS at home) and Castilleja (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lucena frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Castilleja are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lucena have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Castilleja in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 29 (2.9 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Lucena (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Castilleja (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Lucena have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Castilleja have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lucena (Home Form) Castilleja (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lucena and Castilleja. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Oct 2025
Castilleja
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Lucena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Feb 2021
Lucena
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Castilleja
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Nov 2020
Castilleja
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Lucena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Feb 2018
Castilleja
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lucena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Sep 2017
Lucena
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Castilleja
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Jan 2016
Lucena
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Castilleja
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Sep 2015
Castilleja
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lucena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lucena vs Castilleja across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lucena 1.25
Draw 5.25
Castilleja 12.6

Half Time Result

Lucena 1.66
Draw 2.37
Castilleja 11

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.1
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 2.5 1.9
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Lucena vs Castilleja Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lucena vs Castilleja?

Lucena to Win — they've won 10/10 (100%) of their last 10 home games, while Castilleja have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Lucena or Castilleja?

Lucena hold a clear form advantage — they've won 100% of home games in Tercera - Group 10 this season, while Castilleja have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lucena and Castilleja?

Unlikely — Lucena (30% BTTS at home) and Castilleja (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Tercera - Group 10. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lucena and Castilleja?

Possibly — Lucena frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Castilleja are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lucena or Castilleja?

Lucena have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Castilleja's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lucena and Castilleja?

Unlikely — Lucena (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Castilleja (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 10.

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