Lugo II vs Arosa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain
🕒 Sunday 8th February, 11:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Arosa have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Lugo II are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Lugo II at 40% at home and Arosa at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Lugo II often see both teams score at home (60%), while Arosa are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Arosa regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Lugo II have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Arosa in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lugo II (6th) and Arosa (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Compostela 30 17 9 4 49:24 +25 60
2 Arosa A 30 16 10 4 51:33 +18 58
3 Atlético Arteixo 30 14 9 7 48:34 +14 51
4 Villalbés 30 11 13 6 32:21 +11 46
5 Somozas 30 12 10 8 31:26 +5 46
6 Barco 30 13 6 11 33:35 -2 45
7 Estradense 30 11 11 8 38:29 +9 44
8 Boiro 30 11 11 8 34:25 +9 44
9 Atlético Coruña 30 11 10 9 41:36 +5 43
10 Lugo II H 30 10 12 8 31:30 +1 42
11 Gran Pena 30 10 12 8 44:38 +6 42
12 Alondras 30 10 9 11 40:42 -2 39
13 Céltiga 30 10 8 12 41:38 +3 38
14 Viveiro 30 8 10 12 25:37 -12 34
15 Silva 30 6 8 16 23:43 -20 26
16 Juventud Cambados 30 4 14 12 23:33 -10 26
17 Barbadás 30 4 7 19 23:55 -32 19
18 Noia 30 4 7 19 19:47 -28 19

Team Form

Arosa have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Lugo II have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lugo II frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Arosa are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lugo II have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Arosa in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Lugo II have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Arosa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Arosa frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Lugo II are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Lugo II have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Arosa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lugo II (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lugo II and Arosa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Arosa
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Lugo II
16 Feb 2025
Polvorín
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Arosa
06 Oct 2024
Arosa
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Polvorín
25 Feb 2024
Arosa
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Polvorín
08 Oct 2023
Polvorín
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Arosa
24 Apr 2021
Arosa
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Polvorín
04 Apr 2021
Polvorín
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arosa
19 Jan 2020
Polvorín
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Arosa
25 Aug 2019
Arosa
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Polvorín
27 Jan 2019
Polvorín
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Arosa

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lugo II vs Arosa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lugo II 2.9
Draw 2.95
Arosa 2.49

Half Time Result

Lugo II 3.5
Draw 2
Arosa 3.1

Double Chance

Lugo II or Draw 1.5
Lugo II or Arosa 1.28
Draw or Arosa 1.36

Total Goals

Over 2.5 2.06
Under 2.5 1.56

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 3.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Lugo II vs Arosa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lugo II vs Arosa?

Under 3.5 Goals — Lugo II have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Arosa in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Lugo II or Arosa?

Arosa arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 1 this season compared to Lugo II's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Lugo II and Arosa?

Mixed — Lugo II have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Arosa in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lugo II and Arosa?

Uncertain — Lugo II have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Arosa in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lugo II or Arosa?

Arosa have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Lugo II's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lugo II and Arosa?

Possibly — Arosa frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Lugo II are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Gran Pena vs Alondras

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Barco vs Arosa

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Céltiga vs Villalbés

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Boiro vs Atlético Arteixo

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Compostela vs Atlético Coruña

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Silva vs Barbadás

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Estradense vs Somozas

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Juventud Cambados vs Noia

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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